The Non-QB Battle: A Theory Thread
I believe in the Jets' commitment to run the ball this year. So I'm going to start with Tebow. I don't have a love or hate emotion towards the man. I'm a fan of his and I'm going to root for him. That's it. I judge him solely on his performance. I believe the Patriots set the blueprint to defend against a Tebow-led offense back in the playoffs. With that being said, the Tebow experiment will likely backfire for most of the season. Teams will be ready for him, we won't surprise anyone. Everyone is talking about what will happen when Sanchez throws that inevitable first interception, yet no one is talking about how the fans will react when Tebow throws that inevitable interception, or worse, if he fumbles. Tim Tebow will be the same QB he was in Denver. He will suck for 90% of the time he is on the field, and because of this, red-zone or not, I don't think the Jets will trust him to touch the ball when the game is on the line, which is when he truly shines. The fans will turn on Tebow and will force us to have no choice but root for the other guy. I think Mark will respond very well to that.
On to Sanchez. I believe his attempts will be cut by a third compared to last year. It will be similar to his first year. The limited attempts per game will force Mark to make every touch count and I believe we will see a more mentally mature QB in Sanchez. Although his numbers will regress and he may get criticized for that, and he will likely have fewer touchdowns than last year; I predict he will have a higher passing TD/INT ratio and completion percentage. In his first three years it was at (0.6:1), (1.3:1), and (1.4:1). I see him with a 2:1 ratio, and his percentage will be about 60%-65%. Bold, I know. I say this because year four is a big leap compared to year one. The 24 Att/G he will likely have; which was the same number he had in his rookie year, and the added pressure to compete, will result in a more efficient QB in year four.