An unsophisticated analysis - Sanchez's steady progress 2009 - 2011
I'm having a hard time understanding or believing that a QB's performance can fall off a cliff or start to regress for no apparent reason. Did Sanchez all-of-a-sudden forget how to play QB? Or, was he on a steady path of progress even as the GM played musical chairs with the personnel around him? I went back to look at Mark Sanchez's statistics now that he's had a few years to compile a track record....
What I see is a guy who was making steady progress through his first 3 years, improving completion percentage every season, increasing TDs, reducing his INT rate, improving QB rating, etc. By most of the important measures he was making steady progress...until this season!
It's obvious that the personnel around the QB has changed significantly over the years. I looked at who seemed to be the biggest contributors/factors on offense for the Jets each season and there really hasn't been much consistency. But the biggest problem is that we had decent/good skill position players and were making upgrades until 2011, when we seemed to start replacing good contributors with downgrades.
2009 Thomas Jones, Shonn Greene, Leon Washington, Jerricho Cotchery, Braylon Edwards, Dustin Keller
2010 LaDainian Tomlinson, Shonn Greene, Santonio Holmes, Braylon Edwards, Jerricho Cotchery, Dustin Keller
2011 LaDainian Tomlinson, Shonn Greene, Santonio Holmes, Plaxico Burress, Jeremy Kerley, Dustin Keller
2012 Shonn Greene, Bilal Powell, Jeff Cumberland, Chaz Shilens, Jeremy Kerley
Looking from year to year I'd say that the 2010 team on offense was the best we've had in recent years. Going from Thomas Jones and Greene in 2009 to LT and Greene was probably a neutral upgrade, but fielding Braylon Edwards and Holmes instead of Cotchery at WR2 was a big upgrade in my opinion.
2011 was where we really started to regress with offensive personnel. Plaxico was a taller but slower target resulting in increased redzone TD passes for Sanchez, but reducing his Yards per Attempt. We also had the Wayne Hunter issue as evidenced by a dramatic increase in Sacks (39) in 2011. The falloff in personnel (due to injury - Holmes, Keller, Stephen Hill....as well as attrition - goodbye LT, hello Powell) has never been as apparent as it is here in 2012.
I don't think Mark Sanchez is an elite QB. He'll never be in the class of the top 5 to 10 guys. It's clear that his young peers (Matt Ryan, Stafford, etc.) are simply better quarterbacks....but having Roddy White, Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez to throw to when you're not handing off to Michael Turner can help. When you take a good or just an average QB and give him brand new studs like Chaz Shilens, Jason Hill, Clyde Gates and Konrad Rueland to throw to it shouldn't be surprising if routes aren't run correctly and there isn't chemistry with the quarterback. This usually results in incompletions or INTs...and we're seeing that right now.
Okay fellas, do what you do best! Rip it apart. lol