the Jets had this choice
1) the 13 pick this year and a third round pick next year
2) a compensatory third or probably higher if the Jets sign other FAs next year pick in the 2015 draft
3) a 6 year, 96 million dollar (or more contract extension) with the first 16 million guaranteed if the player survives training camp
There were no other bidders willing to destroy their salary cap for Revis so these were the three choices and the Jets took the best one of the three by far
Either Revis returns to form and gets his $16m (or holds out for more). If that happens, I'll still be glad we're not putting that much money into CB.
He doesn't return to form/doesn't get paid. In that case I'm VERY glad we walked away with a top pick AND a 4th rounder next year.
Either way I don't see how things could have worked out any better (assuming no better offer was out there) . . .
I just hate this draft. I won't pretend to be a draft expert and I haven't scouted any of the players in this draft obviously but from all the people who have .. they talk about how weak this draft is overall with the exception of OL .. weak at QB, weak at RB, weak at WR, half-decent with pass rushers (things we need the most)... I wish we would have stacked picks for next year but oh well ... lets see how it plays out. I just feel bad for whoever is selected 13 by us ... oh boy .. jet fans are going to criticize ever single practice run of his.
Most people here were psyched when the Percy Harvin trade went down because they thought it set a high bar on the market for Revis.
The Vikings received:
- Seahawks 2013 1st rounder (#25)
- Seahawks 2013 7th rounder (#214)
- A mid-round pick in 2014 believed to be a 3rd
Today, the Jets received for Revis:
- Bucs 2013 1st rounder (#13)
- A conditional pick in 2014 that will likely be a 3rd
Given the uncertainty around where they will fall exactly, let's consider the 2014 picks to be a wash. According to the draft value chart, the value of the 2 2013 picks the Vikings received for Harvin add up to 725.8 points. The value of the 1 pick the Jets received for Revis was 1150 points. The roughly 425 point difference equates to a mid-2nd rounder.
This essentially means that the Jets received for Revis what the Vikings received for Harvin, plus an additional 2nd rounder this year.
Initially I was disappointed when I heard the compensation, given that reports (like the one on NFL.com today) had us receiving at least a first and a second, or a first, third, and fifth. Let that be a lesson to us in believing unsubstantiated reports and/or speculation and having big dreams. Given the analysis above, I think we should be reasonably happy with what we received.
Every Jet fan who thinks this is a stupid trade doesn't understand everything involved.
Other scenarios that could have happened:
1. Let him walk at the end of the year for a compensatory pick. Jets fans immediately despise Idzik and every media channel in the world calls us inept, because we would be.
2. Sign him to a 6yr/96million extension. If we do this, we have trouble rebuilding right now and we would lack funds to create talent and depth on both sides of the ball. I wouldn't project a superbowl in any of those 6 years (assuming he played them all out before being cut).
You don't win the superbowl by putting all your eggs in one basket. Revis is not worth 16mil/year. There are certain players that might warrant it, but even Bill Parcells said paying a corner $15mil a year is nuts. John Idzik said it best that there was a difference in opinion of the Jets value of Revis and Revis' value of Revis.
Consider this, Bucs could have had Sean Smith and Keenan Lewis for $11-12mil/year TOTAL.
Remember, You win the superbowl with talent and depth on both sides of the ball, good coaching, & a little bit of luck.
Idzik is a personnel guy and he has been evaluating talent for years. He would see a bust in a potential elite prospect quicker than any of us. Besides, the 2 picks are important because we can potentially trade one down, and have 6-7 draft picks within about the top 110 picks.
I feel confident in Idzik because he seems to be managing things well so far. I think he has more of a long-term vision than most GMs and I believe the Jets will benefit and finally build a team through drafts.
None of those players are worth the money they were paid.
As for the rest of the Jets that were cut, just consider it addition by subtraction.