Originally Posted by JetsOptimist
My take is this. We aren't going to ask him to be David Harris. We are going to ask him to be a young Jason Taylor. And from what I have seen, he is a better bet to do that than Ayers/Reed/Houston. I defer to you on the finer points, I could be wrong, but I'd be happier with Wilson than Reed or Ayers. I'd be disappointed with Reed at 30.
Don't focus too much on the slotting of players. Whether it be at 30, or the 3rd round, it really doesn't matter. The only thing anyone ever remembers is whether or not they turned into good players.
People who focus on slotting are just too caught up in the fallacy that drafting is a crap shoot when it's not. Just because a couple of dumb publications mock a player as a mid 2nd rounder means nothing considering the only true value is based on where the 32 teams have a player.
If every publication mocks a player in the 3rd round but a team is willing to take him in the first, then he's a 1st round value.
A good example of that is someone like Jarvis Jenkins. I've seen him mocked in the 3rd round by plenty of sites but I'd take the guy at 30. Mainly because I'm not completely certain that another team wouldn't take him early 2nd. I just think a lot of the player and guarantee that he'll be a good pro. Ultimately, that is the only thing that matters.
We got Justin Miller, Derrick Strait, and plenty of other players in the past who were excellent values, but they sucked as players so it didn't matter one bit.
And yes, I could see a team falling in love with Wilson's measurables but he's still not a first round talent in my book. Much like many other players who are sure to go in the first.
Nate Solder will go in the first but I wouldn't take him in the 6th because I see no scenario where he's a good player in this league. Becuase of that, I'm hoping he goes to the pats, or some other team that I dislike.