Originally Posted by parafly
It's looking more and more doubtful in my opinion. In this day and age, a 5%+ victory in a national election is a blow out, and all indications point to a tight race.
In my opinion, Obama is losing alot of ground due to attacking his opponent rather than implementing policy and laying out a plan moving forward. It's a very poor strategy for an incumbent.
Yep. But I think their campaign made a conscious decision that they needed to ratchet up the enthusiasm on the far left, the folks who ran to the polls in 2008 and have complained that Obama didn't go far enough for them. Obama needs
to match the turnout he got in 2008, when he was a tabula rasa
pretty much everyone could project their positions on to. The only way that happens is if he paints Romney as a scary ogre.
My bet? He'll pivot back to the center and start talking policy after the Olympics, when the public's attention focuses on the election for real. You'll see some negative ads during that phase of the campaign, but not the relentless barrage we're seeing now. June and July, for Obama, were about shoring up his base by increasing antipathy to Romney; September, October, and November will be about winning the middle.
It's the only thing that makes sense.