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Old 08-10-2012, 11:26 AM   #15
brady's a catcher
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Join Date: Sep 2007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chiefst2000 View Post
I don's see that happening PD. Most people don't know anything about Romney at the moment. They haven't tuned in to this election. By contrast everyone knows what Obama is about. He is polling in the 46-47% range. That is the baseline bottom for any Democrat. The question at the moment is who will grab the 9% of undecideds.

The numbers are tricky. I have been analyzing each poll as it comes out. The biggest issue for Romney is with Hispanics. Barack's pandering alongside some hard line positions taken by Romney in the primaries have skewed Latinos away from Romney. He needs to recapture some of those votes. Regardless the race is tied right now and Romney should get a bump from the GOP Convention and VP pick.

On the plus side when you analyze the polls we find that Romney is up by 10 points with independents. Democrats and Republicans are both 90-10 for "their guy". The math is simple from there. Add in a move by undecideds to Romney and there you have it. It seems to me that anyone planning to vote for Obama would have already made that decision.
Where do you see that chiefs?
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