I'd expect the Jets to beat the Colts, Bills and Dolphins.
I'd expect them to lose to the Steelers, 49ers, and Texans.
That's exactly what has happened (and with key injuries to the Jets).
We're pretty much what I expected the Jets to be, a .500 team. Without Revis and Holmes I can't see them doing any better than 9-7 if they overachieve.