[Jetdawgg]

Originally Posted by sackdance

Uh, Jetgawgg - you realize this is county-level commentary from Palm Beach County, a Democratic stronghold, right?

And if you actually read this you'll see the memo believes GOP carries the state because of polling.

http://truth-out.org/news/item/12418...ger-meaningful

When you receive an unexpected call from a private number or 1-800 number, do you answer the phone? Most people don't, and those who do are hardly a representative sample of the American population. Yet the results of all major political polls are based on the assumption that the 9 percent of us who answer the phone are perfectly representative of the 91 percent who don't.


According to a report from the Pew Research Center, only about 9 percent of Americans answer the phone and respond to opinion polls. When response rates fall this low, polls tell us less about public opinion than about who answers the phone.


It gets worse. Do Democratic and Republican voters have, on average, the same numbers of phones? If Republicans have more phones than Democrats, they're more likely to be represented in telephone polls (and, of course, vice versa).

You can actually READ this on polling.

The early voting turnout for Obama is going well for him