Originally Posted by patman
onsite kicks are recovered at a 26% rate, I believe 4thd and 15s will be converted less than that. Plus the opposing team will get the ball on the 30 which is practically field goal range. A failed onsite kick the opposition usually gets it around midfield. This makes the downside even greater.
"Suprise" onsite kickoffs recovered at high percent rate (over 50%) and thus screwing overall rate. Rate for "last minute" kickoffs is much lower.