Originally Posted by patman
Great work. But I don't understand why you took the savings and assumed Holmes would rework his deal unless significant money is guaranteed. When you pointed out it was the case. The guy is coming off the worse possible injury for a WR, an injury where most players take a full year at minimum. The possibility that he misses games is just too real to cut his pay without tit for tat in 2014 dollars.
As a matter of fact the team expressed interest in getting rid of him already he knows he is not in the long range plans. Never mind tit for tat I could see him wanting even more of the 2014 salary as a guarantee than what he is given up in 2013 dollars.
I don't get why Harris does the deal. It seems not to give him any extra real money over the next two years. as it is cutting his 2014 by 3.5 mill, the same amount that is being allocated to his extension. It seems like he would be better getting his 11 mill now. if the jets cut him in 2014 he is likely to get a better deal as a FA than what Jason laid out for him.
All the other moves seem to make sense.
The Jets have leverage over Holmes because of the offset language. If they cut him, his max earnings are likely 7.75M, because he won't get more than that from another team. And his 2014 salary is likely more than he would get from another team as well.
Given that, and the fact that the Jets can reap more than 8M in cap space by cutting him in 2014 as his deal is currently structured, Holmes likely agrees to a real pay cut (say, 5M) in exchange for a guarantee of his 2014 salary. It's a net win for him over being cut, getting 7.75M this year, and significantly less in 2014.