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Old 11-04-2012, 06:21 PM   #1
Bonhomme Richard
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Election 2012 - Pick the Result!

Alright, ****ers, it's time to put your money where your mouths are

... Not litrally, of course...

Call the election and pick the percentage spread. As much as it pains me to say this, I say Obama 52, Romney 48.
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Old 11-04-2012, 06:43 PM   #2
21st Amendment
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bonhomme Richard View Post
Alright, ****ers, it's time to put your money where your mouths are

... Not litrally, of course...

Call the election and pick the percentage spread. As much as it pains me to say this, I say Obama 52, Romney 48.
Obama got 52% in 2008. I can't see him matching that. Considering his margins of victory in all these states aren't going to be as robust. Regardless.. popular vote in the end is meaningless. I predict Obama gets 303 electoral votes. He will carry all the states he won in 2008 other than than Indiana, North Carolina, and Florida. (going back and forth on Florida, but think it leans Romney right now)


Last edited by 21st Amendment; 11-04-2012 at 06:51 PM.
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Old 11-04-2012, 07:30 PM   #3
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It does appear the national polls are starting to align with the polling in the battleground states. National polls would be even better for Obama if he wasn't getting destroyed in the south and his margin of victory in the the states he'll win were in line with 2008.
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Old 11-04-2012, 07:43 PM   #4
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for our posters from Connecticut. "Paid for by Linda McMahon for Senate 2012"

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Old 11-04-2012, 08:02 PM   #5
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President Barack Obama. 50.6

Governor Romney. 48.4

Electorate Votes.

Obama-Biden 306

Romney-Ryan 232

Battleground States

Obama wins Iowa Colorado Wisconsin New Hampshire Nevada Ohio and Virginia

Romney wins Florida and North Carolina

Romney could pull out a win in Virginia which would reduce Obama's EC win to 293 still above the 270 needed for reelection.

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Old 11-04-2012, 08:18 PM   #6
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Romney 51.6

Obama 48.1


Repubs win senate and house and lose senate again in 2 years.

Last edited by cedk; 11-04-2012 at 08:20 PM.
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Old 11-04-2012, 08:19 PM   #7
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I'm voting for Shmuley Boteach.
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Old 11-04-2012, 08:22 PM   #8
21st Amendment
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Romney 51.6

Obama 48.1


Repubs win senate and house and lose senate again in 2 years.
Little chance the Republicans win back the senate.
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Old 11-04-2012, 08:22 PM   #9
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I'm voting for Shmuley Boteach.
How many times do they need to say the mans name in that tv ad of his. So annoying.
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Old 11-04-2012, 08:23 PM   #10
21st Amendment
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sg3 View Post
President Barack Obama. 50.6

Governor Romney. 48.4

Electorate Votes.

Obama-Biden 306

Romney-Ryan 232

Battleground States

Obama wins Iowa Colorado Wisconsin New Hampshire Nevada Ohio and Virginia

Romney wins Florida and North Carolina

Romney could pull out a win in Virginia which would reduce Obama's EC win to 293 still above the 270 needed for reelection.

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where are you getting the extra 3 votes?
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Old 11-04-2012, 08:34 PM   #11
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Originally Posted by 21st Amendment View Post
where are you getting the extra 3 votes?
There are 538 electoral votes. There is proportional distribution of Electors in a few states Not sure I understand your question

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Last edited by sg3; 11-04-2012 at 08:37 PM.
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Old 11-04-2012, 08:41 PM   #12
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Obama wins by a hair. I get all pissed off but by Friday I'm over it and back to not paying any attention about politics for another four years.
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Old 11-04-2012, 08:42 PM   #13
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Sadly, the CNN Map is impossible to link once you've picked states of reach side.

So I'll say popular vote is close, 51%, 48% (1% to Others).

The Electoral College, however, is not, 303 to 235

President Obama retains the Presidency easily, winning almost all the "battleground" states.

Take all predictions with a grain of salt.....I once though Patrick Ramsey was going to lead the Jets to the playoffs.

If only he got his chance. /facepalm
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Old 11-04-2012, 08:44 PM   #14
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Senate breakdown will be D 52 R 48

with King of Maine and Sanders of Vermont both Independents caucusing with the Dems

Murphy will send Linda back to doing Rasslin' interviews and intros where she belongs. Warren will defeat Brown in Mass

I believe those are the only contests in doubt in this region

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Old 11-04-2012, 08:47 PM   #15
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There are 538 electoral votes. There is proportional distribution of Electors in a few states Not sure I understand your question

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Do not see how you got to 306 electoral votes. Even if you think Obama wins the 1 electoral vote in Omaha
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Old 11-04-2012, 08:52 PM   #16
21st Amendment
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Originally Posted by sg3 View Post
Senate breakdown will be D 52 R 48

with King of Maine and Sanders of Vermont both Independents caucusing with the Dems

Murphy will send Linda back to doing Rasslin' interviews and intros where she belongs. Warren will defeat Brown in Mass

I believe those are the only contests in doubt in this region

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Appears Republicans blew it in Indiana with Todd Adkin and Missouri with Richard Mourdock. I also like Tim Kaine's chances in Virginia. Republicans will likely hold onto Arizona and Nevada. Montana is a toss up.
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Old 11-04-2012, 09:24 PM   #17
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How many times do they need to say the mans name in that tv ad of his. So annoying.
Anti-Semite
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Old 11-04-2012, 11:20 PM   #18
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Anti-Semite
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Old 11-05-2012, 12:58 AM   #19
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+1
I personally think Obama gets 320 electoral votes, easy. I don't think this race is as close as the media wants it to be.

House will lose a few seats but remain in GOP control. Dems retain Senate lead and pick up a few extra seats but not enough to reach the magic 60.
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Old 11-05-2012, 06:28 AM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JoeyStylez View Post
I personally think Obama gets 320 electoral votes, easy. I don't think this race is as close as the media wants it to be.

House will lose a few seats but remain in GOP control. Dems retain Senate lead and pick up a few extra seats but not enough to reach the magic 60.
As the media wants it to be??? The GOP will gain seats in the house, that's almost a certainty. Romney wins, as I still hold out hope for this country. And even if the thug racist/socialist from Indonesia eeks out a win...this country is still bigger than him and we'll survive this dark period in our history. The Benghazi hearings are coming either way b*tch. He takes the credit for what the Seals did to Bin Laden, yet ignores them and lets them die bc it doesn't fit his narrative so close to an election. This piece of sh*t needs to go
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