Jets schedule favors a playoff berth - Jets Insider.com Forums

billygreen · 11-16-2012, 02:33 PM

I don't see why the Jets couldn't win 6 of their last 7 games based on their very favorable schedule...

Rams, Pats, Cards, Jags, Titans, Chargers, Bills

The only real strong team you have in there are the Pats, and the Jets usually get up to play them. The rest of these teams are very beatable, and the Jets have a good chance of beating every last one of them. If the Jets were able to do so they would be the first team since the '96 Jags to do it, but it can be done. Since 1990 three teams have made the playoffs after starting 3-6, and the Jets have a very favorable schedule the rest of the way. Could they do it? Absolutely the could do it... Absolutely they could.

McGinley · 11-16-2012, 02:36 PM

We could go 9-7, definitely. Will probably end up needing help, though.

Hope it happens, but I'm not holding my breath.

SlickBri481 · 11-16-2012, 02:37 PM

You're going to get destroyed in this thread, fair warning

The fans of all the teams you listed are penciling in the Jets game as a win too. Only certainty is the Jags and certainty is maybe 75% chance of win. I was on a Rams board and they are almost all predicting blowout. Try to be objective dude. We're not some strong 3-6 team just waiting to pounce on an easy schedule, we're a team in serious flux that has a chance to win 3-4 more games against bad teams, but that is best case scenario.

mluongo · 11-16-2012, 02:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by billygreen

I don't see why the Jets couldn't win 6 of their last 7 games based on their very favorable schedule...

How about the fact that the Jets suck in every facet of the game? Off, Def, ST and coaching.

Sourceworx · 11-16-2012, 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by billygreen

I don't see why the Jets couldn't win 6 of their last 7 games....

Here's why:

SONNY WERBLIN · 11-16-2012, 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SlickBri481

You're going to get destroyed in this thread, fair warning

The fans of all the teams you listed are penciling in the Jets game as a win too. Only certainty is the Jags and certainty is maybe 75% chance of win. I was on a Rams board and they are almost all predicting blowout. Try to be objective dude. We're not some strong 3-6 team just waiting to pounce on an easy schedule, we're a team in serious flux that has a chance to win 3-4 more games against bad teams, but that is best case scenario.

This!

SlickBri481 · 11-16-2012, 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mluongo

How about the fact that the Jets suck in every facet of the game? Off, Def, ST and coaching.

But we're better than the 3-6 teams we'll be playing. We aren't what our record says, but they are (in fact they're worse)

SONNY WERBLIN · 11-16-2012, 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by billygreen

I don't see why the Jets couldn't win 6 of their last 7 games.

billygreen · 11-16-2012, 02:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SlickBri481

You're going to get destroyed in this thread, fair warning

The fans of all the teams you listed are penciling in the Jets game as a win too. Only certainty is the Jags and certainty is maybe 75% chance of win. I was on a Rams board and they are almost all predicting blowout. Try to be objective dude. We're not some strong 3-6 team just waiting to pounce on an easy schedule, we're a team in serious flux that has a chance to win 3-4 more games against bad teams, but that is best case scenario.

Listen you can be as negative as you want, and you certainly have a reason to be, but the fact is the Jets have started the season against some tough teams (Pittsburgh, San Fran, Houston, New England). The rest of their schedule is very easy comparatively. All I'm saying is that of the seven remaining teams the Jets have to face the only powerful one is the Patriots.

I'm not predicting they will win 6 out of 7, I'm just saying they have a schedule that makes it a decent probability.

JumbalayaJet · 11-16-2012, 02:44 PM

Never say die! Agree that's a weak sched but you have to score to beat any NFL team. That and I can't afford to see two postseason teams.

Dreamers · 11-16-2012, 02:44 PM

We will finish 8-8 or 7-9. Loosing both Revis and Holmes was big even if people don't want to admit it. Any shot we had at the POs went south when we lost to Seattle. That was a must win for us. The only way we can get in is to get better then average QB play out of what may be the worst QBs in the league. Other then that yeah sure we have a shot still. I just don't see us loosing only one more game when our QBs can't even play one average game right now.

Traitor Jay & the Woodies · 11-16-2012, 02:46 PM

Has a 5-11 team ever made the playoffs?

billygreen · 11-16-2012, 02:47 PM

[QUOTE=mluongo;4686754]How about the fact that the Jets suck in every facet of the game? Off, Def, ST and coaching.[/QUOTED]

Do the Jets "suck in every aspect of the game" or have they sucked against some very very tough defenses? I don't think the Jets defense has sucked, they've been up and down but they haven't outright sucked. The offense has appeared to suck, but they've done so against some real tough defenses.

I'm just making a point that the rest of the Jets schedule does present a considerable scenario where they could very well win 6 of their last 7 games.

SlickBri481 · 11-16-2012, 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by billygreen

Listen you can be as negative as you want, and you certainly have a reason to be, but the fact is the Jets have started the season against some tough teams (Pittsburgh, San Fran, Houston, New England). The rest of their schedule is very easy comparatively. All I'm saying is that of the seven remaining teams the Jets have to face the only powerful one is the Patriots.

I'm not predicting they will win 6 out of 7, I'm just saying they have a schedule that makes it a decent probability.

You do realize we've been blown out by 17 points or more 4 times this year, right? Does that sound like a great team that just happened to play a brutal schedule?

FO has our playoff chances at 6.2%, I don't consider that a "decent probability." They factor in strength of schedule too in their formulas. Conversely, they rate our chances of a top 3 pick in the draft significantly higher, at 14.9%

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

billygreen · 11-16-2012, 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dreamers

We will finish 8-8 or 7-9. Loosing both Revis and Holmes was big even if people don't want to admit it. Any shot we had at the POs went south when we lost to Seattle. That was a must win for us. The only way we can get in is to get better then average QB play out of what may be the worst QBs in the league. Other then that yeah sure we have a shot still. I just don't see us loosing only one more game when our QBs can't even play one average game right now.

What the Jets need to do now is just forget the past games and the standings and just go out and win games against teams they could very well beat. Now is the time to just dig in and win one game at a time. Besides the Patriots I don't see any of the other teams on our schedule as penciling us in as a win, because they're not exactly powerhouse teams either.

JerseyJet80 · 11-16-2012, 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Braumeister

Here's why:

this

billygreen · 11-16-2012, 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SlickBri481

You do realize we've been blown out by 17 points or more 4 times this year, right? Does that sound like a great team that just happened to play a brutal schedule?

FO has our playoff chances at 6.2%, I don't consider that a "decent probability." They factor in strength of schedule too in their formulas. Conversely, they rate our chances of a top 3 pick in the draft significantly higher, at 14.9%

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

Yes but those playoff chances change week to week. If the Jets beat the Rams then the probability goes up to like 10%, if they beat the Pats they go up more, and so on. Again, the Jets can't think about any of that right now, all they can do is dig in and fight for a win each and every week. With the remaining schedule they could very well do what the '96 Jags did. No question they could do it.

Jets337 · 11-16-2012, 02:57 PM

If you said this after the Patriots game I'd say ok but the way we lost to the Dolphins and Seahawks were ugly losses. No heart looks like a team that's tossed in the towel.

I almost feel like that Stephen Hill dropped pass killed the season. If we win that game I don't think we come out flat like we did the past two weeks.

SlickBri481 · 11-16-2012, 02:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by billygreen

Yes but those playoff chances change week to week. If the Jets beat the Rams then the probability goes up to like 10%, if they beat the Pats they go up more, and so on. Again, the Jets can't think about any of that right now, all they can do is dig in and fight for a win each and every week. With the remaining schedule they could very well do what the '96 Jags did. No question they could do it.

The '96 Jags had a prime Mark Brunell, prime Jimmy Smith, and prime Keenan McCardell, to go along with a strong running game. Want to compare the Jets counterparts?

Nothing wrong with being positive, but there are a lot of smart, realistic football fans on this board, and you're not gonna fool people... just saying

billygreen · 11-16-2012, 03:03 PM

Suppose the Jets beat the Rams? Let's say the Jets win 24-13 or something like that. I'd say if they can beat the Rams, who have hung tough with some good teams this season so far, then they certainly have a shot at beating the Cards, Jags, Titans, Chargers, and Bills too.

Basically the season might seem like it's over, but maybe... just maybe... it's NOT.

11-16-2012, 02:33 PM	#1
billygreen Veteran Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 1,006	Jets schedule favors a playoff berth I don't see why the Jets couldn't win 6 of their last 7 games based on their very favorable schedule... Rams, Pats, Cards, Jags, Titans, Chargers, Bills The only real strong team you have in there are the Pats, and the Jets usually get up to play them. The rest of these teams are very beatable, and the Jets have a good chance of beating every last one of them. If the Jets were able to do so they would be the first team since the '96 Jags to do it, but it can be done. Since 1990 three teams have made the playoffs after starting 3-6, and the Jets have a very favorable schedule the rest of the way. Could they do it? Absolutely the could do it... Absolutely they could.

11-16-2012, 02:36 PM	#2
McGinley We Know Geno All Pro Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 7,446	We could go 9-7, definitely. Will probably end up needing help, though. Hope it happens, but I'm not holding my breath.

11-16-2012, 02:37 PM	#3
SlickBri481 Heal up Darrelle... All Pro Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 6,351	You're going to get destroyed in this thread, fair warning The fans of all the teams you listed are penciling in the Jets game as a win too. Only certainty is the Jags and certainty is maybe 75% chance of win. I was on a Rams board and they are almost all predicting blowout. Try to be objective dude. We're not some strong 3-6 team just waiting to pounce on an easy schedule, we're a team in serious flux that has a chance to win 3-4 more games against bad teams, but that is best case scenario.

11-16-2012, 02:44 PM	#10
JumbalayaJet done with NMS Jets Insider VIP Charter JI Member Join Date: May 1999 Posts: 14,868	Never say die! Agree that's a weak sched but you have to score to beat any NFL team. That and I can't afford to see two postseason teams.

11-16-2012, 02:44 PM	#11
Dreamers The angry poster All League Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 4,396	We will finish 8-8 or 7-9. Loosing both Revis and Holmes was big even if people don't want to admit it. Any shot we had at the POs went south when we lost to Seattle. That was a must win for us. The only way we can get in is to get better then average QB play out of what may be the worst QBs in the league. Other then that yeah sure we have a shot still. I just don't see us loosing only one more game when our QBs can't even play one average game right now.

11-16-2012, 02:46 PM	#12
Traitor Jay & the Woodies is down with the cause. Hall of Fame Charter JI Member Join Date: May 1999 Location: The Eternal Blackness of My Mind Posts: 3,703	Has a 5-11 team ever made the playoffs?

11-16-2012, 02:47 PM	#13
billygreen Veteran Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 1,006	[QUOTE=mluongo;4686754]How about the fact that the Jets suck in every facet of the game? Off, Def, ST and coaching.[/QUOTED] Do the Jets "suck in every aspect of the game" or have they sucked against some very very tough defenses? I don't think the Jets defense has sucked, they've been up and down but they haven't outright sucked. The offense has appeared to suck, but they've done so against some real tough defenses. I'm just making a point that the rest of the Jets schedule does present a considerable scenario where they could very well win 6 of their last 7 games.

11-16-2012, 02:57 PM	#18
Jets337 NEW JERSEY JETS Rookie Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 831	If you said this after the Patriots game I'd say ok but the way we lost to the Dolphins and Seahawks were ugly losses. No heart looks like a team that's tossed in the towel. I almost feel like that Stephen Hill dropped pass killed the season. If we win that game I don't think we come out flat like we did the past two weeks.

11-16-2012, 03:03 PM	#20
billygreen Veteran Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 1,006	Suppose the Jets beat the Rams? Let's say the Jets win 24-13 or something like that. I'd say if they can beat the Rams, who have hung tough with some good teams this season so far, then they certainly have a shot at beating the Cards, Jags, Titans, Chargers, and Bills too. Basically the season might seem like it's over, but maybe... just maybe... it's NOT.