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Old 09-10-2008, 03:04 PM   #1
bigalbarracuda
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Back to the issues: Energy

[IMG]http://www.treehugger.com/offshore-oil-drilling.jpg[/IMG]

Discuss
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:05 PM   #2
Piper
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It's more than zero.

And discuss what?

Is that currently?

What about projections if it were expanded?
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:08 PM   #3
bitonti
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we cant drill our way to lower prices or energy independence

or even come close

don't need a big chart to figure that out

the numbers just don't add up
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:11 PM   #4
nuu faaola
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It's a good chart, but what it doesn't show is that consumption by China, India, Brazil and other emerging economies is increasing at an off the charts rate, and that's who we will be bidding against for our oil.

The price of oil is going up astronomically regardless of whether we drill offshore or not. I have no problem with bringing more oil online if it happens in the midst of a commitment to make massive investments in non-oil sources, but drilling is useless unless we take steps to massively reduce our use of oil.

The idea that U.S. production increases can have any significant impact on the global price of oil is simply misguided.

We currently use 25% of the world's oil, we produce 3%. China and India --which are growing 3x as fast as we are and are building massive middle classes that consume more like we do-- are going to make it impossible for us to continue securing that 25% at anything resembling current prices.
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:14 PM   #5
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[QUOTE=nuu faaola;2742425]It's a good chart, but what it doesn't show is that consumption by China, India, Brazil and other emerging economies is increasing at an off the charts rate, and that's who we will be bidding against for our oil.

The price of oil is going up astronomically regardless of whether we drill offshore or not. I have no problem with bringing more oil online if it happens in the midst of a commitment to make massive investments in non-oil sources, but drilling is useless unless we take steps to massively reduce our use of oil.

The idea that U.S. production increases can have any significant impact on the global price of oil is simply misguided.

We currently use 25% of the world's oil, we produce 3%. China and India --which are growing 3x as fast as we are and are building massive middle classes that consume more like we do-- are going to make it impossible for us to continue securing that 25% at anything resembling current prices.[/QUOTE]


And we have a winner...
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:17 PM   #6
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Screw that. Drill here, drill now. Its the answer to all of our problems, dig?
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:26 PM   #7
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[QUOTE=Piper;2742412]It's more than zero.

And discuss what?

Is that currently?

What about projections if it were expanded?[/QUOTE]


1- It's [B]not [/B]more than zero until 2020... and by then it's still pretty damn close.
2- This is a projection done by the United States Energy Information Administration.
3- This is a projection expanded out 25 years from now.

The point is Piper that an Energy policy based upon the central idea of "Drill Here, Drill Now" is a sham.

I'll concede that we need increased domestic production... but it won't even come close to having an effect.
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:39 PM   #8
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[QUOTE=bitonti;2742419]we cant drill our way to lower prices or energy independence

or even come close

don't need a big chart to figure that out

the numbers just don't add up[/QUOTE]

Ok, lets not drill! Lets just wait till gas hits 10bucks and the country goes into a depression then what!
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:40 PM   #9
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Right, drilling for oil is a mere drop in the bucket, but it certainly can't hurt. Why not push for a little extra in the reserves? It'll create some more work for the country's oilmen too, as long as that job hasn't been outsourced to illegal immigrants yet.

LOL at the image source, btw. I held the cursor over the thread title on the politics board and the first thing I see come up is [url]www.treehugger.com[/url].
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:47 PM   #10
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[QUOTE=pauliec;2742500]Right, drilling for oil is a mere drop in the bucket, but it certainly can't hurt. Why not push for a little extra in the reserves? It'll create some more work for the country's oilmen too, as long as that job hasn't been outsourced to illegal immigrants yet.

LOL at the image source, btw. I held the cursor over the thread title on the politics board and the first thing I see come up is [url]www.treehugger.com[/url].[/QUOTE]

Actually, it sure can hurt. If something has already been proven to not [I]help[/I], but does have the potential to really screw up other things, is it really worth pursuing? It has already been documented that offshore drilling will have [B]zero[/B] effect on gas prices (there are ever reports today coming out that the high price of gas, at the moment, has nothing to do with actual supply and demand).

Sure, 25 years from now there might be a small change to gas prices because of offshore drilling, but by that time we'll be so screwed for many reasons, not least of which is the ones cited above of India and China's growing demand, that it won't matter at all...

On the other hand, 25 years from now this country can be mass producing vehicles that need [B]zero[/B] gas and investing heavily in bio fuels, no longer needing to drill offshore.

So let's see, we can chomp at the bit and demand more drilling, or we can actually take steps to make more drilling moot.
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:51 PM   #11
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So if the United States starts new offshore drilling TODAY, the oil produced from these actions will amount to 1.2% of our total oil usage by the year 2030.

Sounds like a huge waste of time to me. We would be much wiser to devote more of our resources toward developing alternative energy.

How much of a difference will 1.2% make 20 years from now? Not much...and most of that will be offset by the resources required to get this whole thing started in the first place.
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:52 PM   #12
nuu faaola
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[QUOTE=SDJETS;2742515]Actually, it sure can hurt. If something has already been proven to not [I]help[/I], but does have the potential to really screw up other things, is it really worth pursuing? It has already been documented that offshore drilling will have [B]zero[/B] effect on gas prices (there are ever reports today coming out that the high price of gas, at the moment, has nothing to do with actual supply and demand).

Sure, 25 years from now there might be a small change to gas prices because of offshore drilling, but by that time we'll be so screwed for many reasons, not least of which is the ones cited above of India and China's growing demand, that it won't matter at all...

On the other hand, 25 years from now this country can be mass producing vehicles that need [B]zero[/B] gas and investing heavily in bio fuels, no longer needing to drill offshore.

So let's see, we can chomp at the bit and demand more drilling, or we can actually take steps to make more drilling moot.[/QUOTE]

In 25 years the amount of oil being consumed by India and China will have so far exceeded the miniscule new supply we'll have put online that the impact will be mere pennies per gallon, at most, versus wherever else it would have been by then. By which I mean, it will be something like $8 a gallon instead of $8.05.

By all means, drill a little. But don't delude yourself into thinking its more than a miniscule part of a real solution. Oil is a limited resource, global demand is increasing exponentially, and the new supply out there is incremental at best.

I don't mind some drilling --it can't really hurt-- but only if the agreement to allow it makes real investments in things that can at the very least rid our electric grid of dependence on oil.
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Old 09-10-2008, 03:53 PM   #13
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[QUOTE=SDJETS;2742515]

So let's see, we can chomp at the bit and demand more drilling, or we can actually take steps to make more drilling moot.[/QUOTE]

Why can't we do both?
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:16 PM   #14
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[QUOTE=parafly;2742522]So if the United States starts new offshore drilling TODAY, the oil produced from these actions will amount to 1.2% of our total oil usage by the year 2030.

Sounds like a huge waste of time to me. We would be much wiser to devote more of our resources toward developing alternative energy.

How much of a difference will 1.2% make 20 years from now? Not much...and most of that will be offset by the resources required to get this whole thing started in the first place.[/QUOTE]

The big difference is we will be using more of our own oil instead of buying from OPEC. That is the point.. Everyone wants wind turbines, (but not in my backyard), nuclear energy(not here), coal(to dirty) Tell me what then?
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:19 PM   #15
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Drilling and investing in alternative energy sources are not mutually exlusive. I don't know why people think that.
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:20 PM   #16
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[QUOTE=bigalbarracuda;2742406][IMG]http://www.treehugger.com/offshore-oil-drilling.jpg[/IMG]

Discuss[/QUOTE]

A part of the solution.

Not [I]thee[/I] solution.
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:21 PM   #17
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[QUOTE=MnJetFan;2742497]Ok, lets not drill! Lets just wait till gas hits 10bucks and the country goes into a depression then what![/QUOTE]

yeah but that's the point - it doesn't matter if we drill or not, if gas is gonna hit 10 dollars it's gonna hit 10 dollars.
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:21 PM   #18
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Where does natural gas fit in the equation?
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:22 PM   #19
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[QUOTE=SanAntonio_JetFan;2742574]Drilling and investing in alternative energy sources are not mutually exlusive. I don't know why people think that.[/QUOTE]

Idiots think they are mutually exclusive and then use someone's support of drilling to say they must be against alt. energies.

It's like saying, do you want a good running game on offense or a strong passing game?

If someone says they want the Jets to have a better running game this year that DOES NOT mean they're against throwing the ball. The end game is scoring points and you need to do both.

The end game in energy is lower prices and sustainable supply. You drill for more oil and support alternative energies to accomplish this.
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Old 09-10-2008, 04:23 PM   #20
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[QUOTE=jetstream23;2742577]A part of the solution.

Not [I]thee[/I] solution.[/QUOTE]

If the demand rises faster than supply, then more drilling is not even a part of the solution

why is it so hard for people to understand the basic fundementals? It's like as Americans we expect cheap gas as a right. those days are gone forever and they aren't coming back.
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