FootballOutsiders playoff odds sim

rainman · 10-17-2012, 12:23 PM

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

Jets at 41.7% chance to make playoffs, 14.1% to win AFC East.

the most notable thing to me is the widespread 'parity'/abject mediocrity in the AFC... the Jets are simmed to an average of 8 wins and 8 losses, which is actually second-best among non-division winners in the AFC: Miami 8.7 wins, Jets 8.0, Steelers 7.9, Bengals 7.6, Chargers 7.3.

so a 9-7 wild-card or two is certainly a possibility - as may be an 8-8 wild card, which has not happened (iirc) since the Giants did it in 2006.

SlickBri481 · 10-17-2012, 12:46 PM

We're ranked #1 in their special teams rankings, which I actually buy a lot. Our special teams have been excellent this season.

rainman · 10-17-2012, 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SlickBri481

We're ranked #1 in their special teams rankings, which I actually buy a lot. Our special teams have been excellent this season.

losing Westhoff is gonna suck

Batmans A Scientist · 10-17-2012, 01:52 PM

I'm looking at the Football Outsiders overall rankings and nothing is more surprising to me than the Jets being 30th in variance (32nd being most variance w/o/w). THere are really two teams that are more inconsistent than the Jets?

10-17-2012, 12:23 PM	#1
rainman Practice Squad Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 378	FootballOutsiders playoff odds sim http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds Jets at 41.7% chance to make playoffs, 14.1% to win AFC East. the most notable thing to me is the widespread 'parity'/abject mediocrity in the AFC... the Jets are simmed to an average of 8 wins and 8 losses, which is actually second-best among non-division winners in the AFC: Miami 8.7 wins, Jets 8.0, Steelers 7.9, Bengals 7.6, Chargers 7.3. so a 9-7 wild-card or two is certainly a possibility - as may be an 8-8 wild card, which has not happened (iirc) since the Giants did it in 2006.

10-17-2012, 12:46 PM	#2
SlickBri481 Heal up Darrelle... All Pro Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 6,351	We're ranked #1 in their special teams rankings, which I actually buy a lot. Our special teams have been excellent this season.

10-17-2012, 01:52 PM	#4
Batmans A Scientist Watching the American East Championship All Pro Join Date: Apr 2003 Location: Manhattan, NY Posts: 8,513	I'm looking at the Football Outsiders overall rankings and nothing is more surprising to me than the Jets being 30th in variance (32nd being most variance w/o/w). THere are really two teams that are more inconsistent than the Jets?