Last season he had 8 home runs, he already has 3 this season.
Sometimes I forget how young he is (23) If he turns into a 15-20 home run guy, this will really rise his stock.
I'm also liking his .382 OBP right now.
I could see him being a 20 a year guy perhaps, I don't think the ceiling is too much higher than that.
I don't know about 20, I would love to see that.
I doubt it. Melky Cabrera is a guy who slugged .391 each of the last 2 seasons. He doesn't really hit a lot of XBH in general for some of them to begin crossing the fence.
I think this is an early season hot streak, much like that of a Gabe Kapler.
Before I go, Melky just hit a shot off the wall..
Gabe Kapler, a 30 something year old, is not a good comparison here. They have nothing in common.
There's no doubt Melky will get more power as he gets older and starts to hit his prime. This is probably the first year of that.
Melky on the other hand has been a slap singles hitter. Melky had 40 XBH last year, tied with Tadahito Iguchi, Miguel Olivo, Juan Uribe, Felipe Lopez, Jacque Jones, Luis Gonzalez, and Troy Glaus (Who missed 40 games).
Cabrera is a guy who slugged .422 in the Minors, .393 in the Majors. It's possible that he does add some power, it's just not particuarly likely.
Last edited by Ven0m; 04-19-2008 at 08:24 AM.
2. Melky was playing at high levels of the minors at an extremely young age.
3. You mention Jimmy Rollins. Lets look what Rollins did in the minors and compare it to Melky. At the age of 20, Rollins was in AA and had a SLG% of .404 (he also played 4 games in AAA and slugged .154). Melky, at the age of 20, was in AA and had a SLG% of .411 (he also played 26 games in AAA and slugged .366). At the age of 19, Rollins was in A+ ball and he had a SLG% of .354. Melky, at the age of 19, played in both A and A+ ball. He had a SLG % of .462 in A ball in 42 games and a SLG% of .438 in 85 games in A+ ball.
Seems like Melky hit for more power in the minors.
4. Once again, your comparing the amount of Melky's XBH's to veterans. It's a ridiculous comparison. Look at what Alex Rios did when he was 24 years old and in the majors. He had 39 XBH's. Under your theory, that means he was not going to develop for any power.
I linked this article months ago and people didn't seem to take it seriously. Now it's looking like it could be the case:
By the way, in this limited sample, Melky's G/F is 1.11 this year. It might not happen this year, but it will happen within the next couple years.Melky Cabrera. Cabrera went backwards in ’07, but not by enough for concern. Remember that he is just 23 years old and has more than 1100 plate appearances in the majors, with average to average-plus defense (good physical tools, but very raw, takes bad routes) and a very good 129/96 K/BB. He is a mature player offensively, patient at the plate and fair on the bases (25-for-35 stealing in his career). One interesting quirk is his G/F ratio, which is 1.63 for his career and was a whopping 1.81 last season. Cabrera is listed at 5’11” and 200 pounds. He’s not Willy Taveras, but rather a player who should be developing power and learning how to drive the ball, rather than hitting the ball on the ground 60 percent of the time.
I’m reminded of Alex Rios, who doesn’t look a thing like Cabrera. Rios was largely disappointing in 2004 and 2005, hitting just 11 homers in more than 900 at-bats, with an isolated power of 117. The problem: Rios was hitting the ball on the ground too much, a 1.82 G/F in those two seasons. Starting in ’06, Rios put the ball in the air more than half the time, and became a star. When you look at Cabrera’s body, his established control of the strike zone, and his ability to hold his own at a young age, you recognize that all it’s going to take is for him to start elevating the ball. Cabrera may not get there in 2008, but he’s going to pop 80 extra-base hits and slug .500 in a season very, very soon.
4th HR for Melky. It isn't even May, and Melky is half way to his 2008 HR total.
The Hall of Fame awaits Melkys arrival.