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Thread: Taking a Punch

  1. #1

    Taking a Punch

    [B][SIZE="4"]Obama shows resilience in nearly clinching the nomination[/SIZE][/B]
    Jonathan Alter

    Newsweek Web Exclusive
    Updated: 1:28 AM ET May 7, 2008
    Barack Obama not only nearly clinched the Democratic nomination Tuesday night. He also answered a big question about the fall campaign. [B]The glass jaw that Hillary Clinton and John McCain thought they saw turned out to be an illusion.[/B] In the jingle of the old Timex watch ads, he took a licking and kept on ticking.

    Oh what a difference a week makes. April 28 was only last week but it feels like six months ago. That was the day Obama got hit by a one-two punch. First, his former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, dominated the airwaves with his offensive rant. The same day brought news that Hillary had decided to join McCain in calling for a summer gas tax holiday, sure to be popular with voters angry about high costs at the pump.

    For the first time since February, Clinton seemed to have a real shot at the nomination. Still reeling from his big loss in Pennsylvania, Obama was battered by charges of elitism and disconnected from a big chunk of the Democratic Party. From bad bowling to "bitter" to arugula-eater to disciple of an America-hater, he seemed to be floundering.

    May 6 looked ominous. With African-Americans making up only nine percent of Indiana Democratic voters, Obama was in deep trouble there, behind in the polls and slipping. North Carolina was also headed in the wrong direction, with some surveys showing only a five-point Obama lead. In most earlier primaries, including those he won, Obama slipped further on the last weekend. Even his closest aides thought Indiana and North Carolina would be no different.

    Last week, not a soul in politics would have predicted that Obama would win North Carolina by 14 points and virtually tie in Indiana. But through a combination of luck and smarts, the campaign ended on the theme that Obama ran on: Old politics vs. new politics.

    By conventional standards, Clinton was in the groove, focusing on bread-and-butter issues and pummeling Obama for being out-of-touch with angry motorists. Many pundits reported that "the working girl" was "on fire" and on the move.

    Traveling around North Carolina and Indiana, I wasn't sure. But two things struck me as encouraging for Obama. First, I went to a big Clinton event in Indianapolis on Saturday night and noticed there were no more than a handful of African-Americans in a crowd of several thousand. For all the talk about white blue-collar workers (a group that gave only 41 percent of its votes to Bill Clinton in 1992), the most important demographic group this year was unquestionably black women, who were expected when the campaign began to split 50-50--but have been going 90-10 for Obama. That boded well in North Carolina. A woman candidate cannot win the Democratic nomination without at least some African-American women. Period.

    The second encouraging sign for Obama was the candidate himself. His press conference denouncing Wright didn't end the issue for good, but it did put enough distance between himself and Wright to help neutralize the damage. More important, Obama's decision to push back on the gas tax actually worked. Refusing to pander reminded his base among college-educated voters of the reasons they liked him in the first place.

    It also helped Obama recover his rhythm. After watching him sink some baskets on Sunday, I had a few words with him. "I feel really good about that [the gas tax position]," he said. "We had veered into the conventional, and now we're back." This was a huge gamble and it paid off.

    In the end Obama showed the kind of resilience that was supposed to apply only to the Clintons. Between May and November, Obama will have other low moments. But now he has some experience surviving them.

    [url]http://www.newsweek.com/id/135832/output/print[/url]

  2. #2
    What didn't kill him may, in fact, have made him stronger. Hillary has spent a lot of the GOP's fall ammunition, to no avail. Rev. Wright et al will be old news when they try to raise it again in the fall.

  3. #3
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    [QUOTE=nuu faaola;2527802]What didn't kill him may, in fact, have made him stronger. Hillary has spent a lot of the GOP's fall ammunition, to no avail. Rev. Wright et al will be old news when they try to raise it again in the fall.[/QUOTE]

    you can only wish...this is the tip of the iceberg for BO....when the Ayers connections and affiliations are completely exposed it will make rev wright seem like chicken feed...never mind his voting record...

    of course there's his bitter half who's a ticking time bomb...

  4. #4
    [QUOTE=nuu faaola;2527802]What didn't kill him may, in fact, have made him stronger. Hillary has spent a lot of the GOP's fall ammunition, to no avail. Rev. Wright et al will be old news when they try to raise it again in the fall.[/QUOTE]

    Nuu, The extreme righteous right will pound the rev. wright gossip story because its what they do best; appeal to the average American's basic psychological fears. They know that if they don't resort to Karl Rove trash techniques, they have very little chance in November.

    So now we must wait to see what 'swift boat' style garbage they will throw at him. Prepare to see a hundred stories a day on Fox Propaganda and the EIB Klan Network documenting what Wright said while taking a sh*t.
    Last edited by intelligentjetsfan; 05-07-2008 at 12:49 PM.

  5. #5
    [QUOTE=intelligentjetsfan;2527854]Nuu, The extreme righteous right we pound the rev. wright gossip story because its what they do best; appeal to the average American's basic psychological fears. They know that if they don't resort to Karl Rove trash techniques, they have very little chance in November.

    So now we must wait to see what 'swift boat' style garbage they will throw at him. Prepare to see a hundred stories a day on Fox Propaganda and the EIB Klan Network documenting what Wright said while taking a sh*t.[/QUOTE]

    We will see it, of course. But the impact will be diminished because the story will have been out there for so long. The entire country has followed it. And the impact of it will never be higher --or fresher-- than it was in the past two weeks.

  6. #6
    Any other candidate would have ran right over him weeks ago. It's not so much taking a punch as it is everyone's dislike for Hillary, and her own arrogance.

    The fact that we were left with these three candidates -- the minority, the communist, and the liberal -- is astounding to me. You think Bush is a lame duck now? I have absolutely no optimism for the future.

  7. #7
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    [QUOTE=nuu faaola;2527871]We will see it, of course. But the impact will be diminished because the story will have been out there for so long. The entire country has followed it. And the impact of it will never be higher --or fresher-- than it was in the past two weeks.[/QUOTE]

    People that aren't going to vote for him because of Wright have already decided that. I doubt more publicity (unless it is something new like Obama wrote the sermons :-) will hurt.

  8. #8
    [QUOTE=pauliec;2527876][B]Any other candidate would have ran right over him weeks ago. It's not so much taking a punch as it is everyone's dislike for Hillary, and her own arrogance.[/B]

    The fact that we were left with these three candidates -- the minority, the communist, and the liberal -- is astounding to me. You think Bush is a lame duck now? I have absolutely no optimism for the future.[/QUOTE]

    It is when you are running against the Clintons in the [B]democratic primary[/B]. Rest assured the democrats see the Clintons in a much more positive light then the general population. And "any candidate" would not have run over him in this election. He ran a very smart and well-organized campaign [B]for the most part[/B]. That includes fund raising and allocation of funds.

    We all have our opinions and we'll see what happens, but I have confidence that any of the three candidates would be an improvement over the garbage in office now.
    Last edited by intelligentjetsfan; 05-07-2008 at 01:23 PM.

  9. #9
    [QUOTE=ChadLover;2527882]People that aren't going to vote for him because of Wright have already decided that. [/QUOTE]

    Yeah, DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS have already decided that - and keep in mind that Obama never wooed the white vote away from Hillary. Obamicans? Try McCainocrats.

    I don't even like or have faith in McCain, but he is remarkably well set up for a landslide.

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