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Thread: The OFFICIAL (with apologies to Warfish) 2008 ELECTION THREAD

  1. #41
    Screw Exit Polls! I'll Never Trust Them!

  2. #42
    [QUOTE=Tyler Durden;2842178]Exit Polls! [/QUOTE]

    Democratic cuss word! ;)

  3. #43
    Huge lines in Orlando, FL

  4. #44
    Did anyone else have to wait in line? I breezed right through.

  5. #45
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    DO NOT FORWARD – OFF THE RECORD

    STATE EXIT POLL RESULTS
    *THE RESULTS CANNOT BE USED UNTIL AFTER THE POLLS CLOSE IN EACH STATE.

    VIRGINIA- POLL CLOSE: 7:00 PM

    • 22% of the vote is African American and Obama is winning 91% of it.

    • Among white voters, 58% are backing McCain, while 41% are supporting Obama. In 2004, Kerry won 32% of the vote here while Bush won 68% of it.

    • 72% disapprove of the job Bush is doing; only 27% approve.

    • More than half of voters think McCain will continue Bush’s policies; fewer think he will take the country in a different direction.

    • Obama is winning the support of both men and women, but white men and white women are backing McCain.

    • Among whites, one in five said race was a factor in their vote today and they backed Mccain.

    • More blacks (4 in 10) said race was a factor and they voted overwhelmingly for Obama.

    • Obama looks to be improving on Kerry’s margins in Northern Virginia.

    • Most voters say McCain as the candidate on the attack: nearly 7 in 10 say he attacked Obama unfairly; fewer than half say Obama attacked McCain unfairly.

    INDIANA - POLL CLOSE: 7:00 PM

    • The economy is the top issue here (as it is nationally) and Obama appears to be benefitting from that. Among economy voters, Obama 56% to 43%.

    • White working class (those without a college degree and earn less than $50K) are backing Obama slightly over McCain by 51% to 48%.

    • Men are divided in their support, while Obama has the advantage with women.

    • 42% of voters are white evangelicals, up from 35% in 2004. McCain is getting 68% of their support. Bush captured 77% of the vote in 2004.

    • 35% of voters in IN were looking for a candidate who could bring about change, while almost as many (33%) were looking for someone who shares their values. The change voters are supporting Obama, while the values voters are supporting McCain.

    GEORGIA - - POLL CLOSE: 7:00 PM

    • 30% of voters are African American (up from 25% in 2004) and 97% are backing Obama.

    • Whites are backing McCain by about the same margin they supported Bush in 2004.

    • The top candidate quality was values, closely followed by change. Those who selected values as the most important quality backed McCain, while the change voters supported Obama.

    NORTH CAROLINA - POLL CLOSE: 7:30 PM

    • 22% of voters were African American (26% in 2004) and Obama is getting 97% of their vote. As expected, an improvement on Kerry’s performance four years ago.

    • White voters are backing McCain by 62% to 37%.

    • 11% of voters in NC are new voters, voting for the first time this year, they too have the economy on their minds and 3 in 4 of them are backing Obama.

    • Change and values are nearly tied for the #1 quality. Obama wins the change people, while McCain takes the values people.

    OHIO - POLL CLOSE: 7:30 PM
    • 86% are worried about the direction of the economy, including more than half who are very worried. (Obama is getting the support of those worried voters.)
    • .
    • Hillary Clinton won the primary here, and Obama is getting the support of 82% of Democrats who backed her in that contest. 16% are backing McCain.

    • 12% of voters in Ohio are black, up from 10% in 2004. 98% of them are backing Obama.

    • Both white women and white women are going for McCain.

    • More voters see view Obama has a candidate who is in touch with people like them, while more voters see McCain has having the experience to serve effectively as president.

    • Still, 4 in 10 Ohio voters think Obama’s positions on the issues are too liberal.

    PENNSYLVANIA - POLL CLOSE: 8:00 PM

    • A quarter of voters in PA are white Catholics and they are splitting their votes. Kerry lost these voters to Bush by 48% to 52%.

    • Seniors are one-fifth of the electorate and just over half are backing Obama. These voters narrowly backed Kerry by 51% to 48% in 2004.

    • Obama is getting about two-thirds of the support of voters age 18-29. Kerry won 60% of them in 2004.

    • Most voters in the Keystone state made up their minds long ago, but among those who decided in the last week (just over 1 in 10 voters), they are narrowly backing McCain by 51% to 47%.

    FLORIDA- POLL CLOSE: 8:00 PM

    • 13% of voters here were Hispanics (15% in 2004) and they are breaking for Obama by 55% to 45%. This is a reversal from 2004 when Hispanics backed Bush by 56% to 44%.

    • Seniors (24% of voters) are backing McCain over Obama by 53% 46%. In 2004 Bush edged out Kerry by 51% to 48%.

    • 13% of voters are African American in Florida and they and 95% are backing Obama.

    • White men and white women are backing McCain.

    • McCain wins on experience here, while more voters see Obama as being more in touch with people like them.


    8:00 MISSOURI

    Young voters (19% of voters) are backing Obama; while seniors (17% of voters) give McCain the edge.

    White evangelical are 38% of the vote in Missouri and they are backing McCain by 67% to 32%. Not as strong a showing as Bush in 2004.

  6. #46
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    NATIONAL EXIT POLL RESULTS

    *FOR USE BEFORE THE POLLS CLOSE, STARTING AT 5PM


    • Three in four voters say the country is off on the wrong track. Right direction 20% Wrong track 76%

    • Most disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President. Bush approval: Appr: 27% Disappr: 71%

    • Voters are even more disillusioned with Congress. Congress approval Appr: 24% Disapp: 73%

    • More than 6 in 10 cite the economy as the most important issue – far outdistancing any other issue.

    • Moreover, more than 9 in 10 voters think the economy is in bad shape. And more than 8 in 10 are worried abut the direction the economy will take in the next year.

    • 8 in 10 voters are worried that the economic crisis will harm their family’s finances, including half who are very worried.

    • A third of voters today (36%) were looking for a candidate who can bring needed change, but almost as many (30%) were looking for someone who shared their values.

    • Few voters made up their minds late in the campaign – about one in 10 decided in the last week. Most decided on their choice a while ago.

    • Nationally, more voters see McCain as the candidate on the attack (66%); fewer (48%) say Obama has attacked McCain unfairly.

    • 57% think Obama is in touch with people like themselves, 4-% think McCain is.

    • 50% think Obama has the experience to serve effectively as president, 60% think McCain does.

    FOR USE AFTER 8PM
    *THESE NUMBERS MAY HAVE UPDATED SINCE THIS MEMO, PLEASE CHECK*

    • Obama has slight edge with men, while women are backing Obama by 57% to 41%. McCain has an edge with married women, while 7 in 10 single women are supporting Obama.

    • Blacks are 13% of voters, up from 11% in 2004. They are voting 96% Obama, 3% McCain.

    • Whites are voting for McCain by 53% to 45%. White men and white women are breaking for McCain but white women are backing the Republican by a narrower margin than white men.

    • Hispanics are backing Obama over McCain by 68% to 30% - Kerry won the support of 53% of Hispanics in 2004.

    • Young people (age 18 to 29) are 17% of voters and 3 in 4 of them are backing Obama. Young voters’ share of the electorate is similar to what it was in 2004. However, with a higher turnout this percentage could represent more voters.

    • Independents are voting 52% Obama, 44% McCain.

    • Race was a factor for 19% of voters (whites, if you have time).

    • While most voters were not contacted by either of the campaigns,
    • But among those who were contacted, more were contacted by the Obama campaign to get out and vote than the McCain campaign.

    • 10% of voters voted for the first time sometime this year and a solid majority (7 in 10) are supporting Obama.

    • 57% think Obama has the right judgment to make a good president, 49% think McCain does.

    • About 4 in 10 voters think Sarah Palin is qualified to be president if necessary. Two-thirds think Joe Biden is.
    • Most McCain supporters, however, think Palin is qualified.

    • Six in 10 said McCain’s choice of Palin was a factor in their vote, including 4 in 10 who described it as an important factor.

  7. #47
    Boo Exit Polls!

  8. #48
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    'exit poll results are extremely pro-Obama' according to my source

  9. #49
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    [QUOTE=Tyler Durden;2842237]Boo Exit Polls![/QUOTE]

    you will notice I didn't post any voting patterns/margins... the ones I posted are relevant, no?

  10. #50
    Good stuff but whats this mean?

    • Obama is winning the support of both men and women, but white men and white women are backing McCain.

  11. #51
    Anyone just hear what Joe Scarbourough (sp?) said about Florida on MSNBC?

  12. #52
    [QUOTE=FF2ฎ;2842274]Good stuff but whats this mean?

    • Obama is winning the support of both men and women, but white men and white women are backing McCain.[/QUOTE]

    Means Obama is kicking tail with blacks and hispanics.

  13. #53
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    Took me longer to walk to the polls than it did to vote.

  14. #54
    [QUOTE=adb280z;2842354]Took me longer to walk to the polls than it did to vote.[/QUOTE]

    You might be able to afford a car when Obama is president. :P;)

  15. #55
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    Going to miss Russert tonight..

    He's normally who I'd watch.. now I got nothing :(

  16. #56
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    [QUOTE=Tanginius;2842209]DO NOT FORWARD – OFF THE RECORD

    STATE EXIT POLL RESULTS
    *THE RESULTS CANNOT BE USED UNTIL AFTER THE POLLS CLOSE IN EACH STATE.

    VIRGINIA- POLL CLOSE: 7:00 PM

    [B]• 22% of the vote is African American and Obama is winning 91% of it.

    • Among white voters, 58% are backing McCain, while 41% are supporting Obama. In 2004, Kerry won 32% of the vote here while Bush won 68% of it[/B].[/QUOTE]
    Suggests a 4% Obama win in VA..

    Just calling it out to get yer hopes up liberals.. :)

  17. #57
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    Less than 5 minutes in Alexandria, VA at about 5:30. Was gonna vote Obama but one of his peeps said "Go Eagles" when he saw my Jets' jersey. I don't need that for the next 4 years. So I wrote in Farve.

  18. #58
    [QUOTE=brady's a catcher;2842375]Less than 5 minutes in Alexandria, VA at about 5:30. Was gonna vote Obama but one of his peeps said "Go Eagles" when he saw my Jets' jersey. I don't need that for the next 4 years. So I wrote in Farve.[/QUOTE]

    I like it. Leon for VP, Jenkins for Secretary of Defense.

  19. #59
    [QUOTE=Tyler Durden;2842289]Anyone just hear what Joe Scarbourough (sp?) said about Florida on MSNBC?[/QUOTE]

    Why no. Why don't you share with the rest of the class?

  20. #60
    [QUOTE=FF2ฎ;2842450]Why no. Why don't you share with the rest of the class?[/QUOTE]
    [url]http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/04/joe-scarborough-a-republi_n_141132.html[/url]

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