[QUOTE=3_Libras;3776449]The perfect match up one week before our game with them. Ravens probably best in the AFC, we're probably 2nd. So a nice parallel.
- Ran for a total of 39 yards against Baltimore last week. This type of support is abysmal; those of you who think Orton could have a field day forget what the run means when it comes to ball retention/opp defense tiring/first downs.
- [B]Baltimore ran 233 yards. Rice and McGahee picking up 133 and 67 [/B]respectively. Scored 4 TDs on the run (Flacco ran in for one aswell). Denver has to be sh**ing themselves at this point.
- Flacco was 14/25 for 196. No question we'll use Sanchez exactly the same way.
- Orton went for 23/38, 314 yards, 2 TDs. So yes, could potentially be trouble and Lloyd poses a serious threat.
[B]Total first downs[/B]
Baltimore 28, Denver 16
[B]By rushing[/B]
Baltimore 17, Denver 1
Alarm bells for Denver...
[B]Time of possession:[/B]
Denver: 23 minutes, Ravens: 36 minutes. And ultimately, that's why we're favourite for this game. They can throw it, and Lloyd is another nightmare matchup, but when you can't get those 1st down to give Orton enough time to win you the game, you're as good as done. AND...when you give 200+ yards rushing going into a game against a great rush team, you're already half beaten.
I totally disagree that this is a trap game which others seem to believe. [B]This will be a repeat of Buffalo, with a tighter winning margin[/B].[/QUOTE]
I do agree that the Jets will probably have a similar game-plan to that used in the Bills game. Jets will want to dominate the game and control the clock with their running game.
Jets will do this by mixing it up on 1st downs. Many times with passes...and using play action...taking shots down the field to Edwards, Holmes, and Keller. They will do this to set up some big runs.
Jets are now one of the most balanced offenses in the league. So Jets won't average 59% running plays. it will always be closer to 50-50. Because Sanchez is now playing like a smart veteran QB. So it's not about the quantity of running plays...but the quality of the runs.
Not only is Denver having problems stopping the run. But they are also missing three starters from their secondary. So Jets can possibly go over 30 points...just like they did in that Bills game.
IMO...Denver is too one dimensional to feast on the Jets secondary. They don't have a running game...dead last in the league with just a 51 yds a game average. No team can expect to have good success against a Rex defense...with such a pathetic rushing attack. Orton could get killed in this game if the Broncos can't run it at all.
Jets shut out Brady and the Pats, in the 2nd half of that game, because Pats running game could only manage 52 yards. So Denver could have the same results...if they can't balance their passing attack with the run.
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