Actually, the Pats haven't won a Super Bowl since their offense has taken off. They were balanced in their Super Bowl runs and the D was dominant in the last SB season they won. The offense didn't really get going until the 2007 season. And the D has been slipping lately. So maybe defense does still kind of win.
The Giants have won 2 of the past 5 with great D. Green Bay -- awesome D in 2010-11. Steelers -- top D in 2008-09. Saints were's great in 2009-10 when they won, but held the Colts to 17 in their SB win.
I know the "experts" say it's an offense league now, but to me, I still see teams with great defenses winning Super Bowls.
I agree and I think BB does also after looking at this years draft and FA.
The pats got old on D in 2007, and with the exception of Wilfork had to totally rebuild the defense. It takes some time to build a D thru the draft, The jets built their D with a lot of help from FA. The results come quicker going the FA route.
I think the D this year will be middle of the pack in yds and close to top 10 in points allowed.
Injuries are always unpredictable. Welker or Loyd could go down. Brady or someone else. Revis could go down..etc. Even when things look great, injuries can be the great equalizer. They're going to happen. It's just a matter of how much they impact each team.
Lloyd is the key to making this offense better than 2007. He does not have to replicate what Moss did in '07, but he does have to give Brady a consistent vertical option.
Pats deep passing game was a joke last year.
Ridley had the second highest ypc among rookies behind DeMarco Murray. If either he or Vereen can prove to be a legit running threat and/or catch out of the backfield, they will have a Saints'-like offense.