Remember, It's not nice to **** with Mother Nature.
No more ****ing snow on Halloween.
GFY Mother Nature....the Ultimate Thunderc unt
Tropical Storm Sandy could slam N.J. as nor'easter with hurricane-force winds, forecasters say
If you thought last year’s crippling late October snowstorm was a handful, this year’s pre-Halloween horror show might just make your head spin.
State officials and weather forecasters are growing concerned that a powerful nor’easter, formed from Tropical Storm Sandy and an approaching cold front, could wreak havoc in the Garden State early next week, potentially causing extensive flooding as well as damage from hurricane-force winds.
Sandy formed in the southern Caribbean Monday, and forecasters say it is expected to track up the east coast in the coming days potentially making landfall in the New Jersey/Long Island area early on Monday or Tuesday.
“This storm has the potential to be very dangerous,” said Gary Szatkowski, the meteorologist in charge at the National Weather Service’s Mount Holly office. “When you bring a tropical system into a situation like this, it’s like adding fuel to a fire. You can get some incredibly powerful storms and this one has the potential to be very strong.”
While Sandy is expected to lose it’s tropical characteristics by the time it arrives, Szatkowski said it has the potential to explode into a massive Nor’Easter, the effects of which New Jersey could start experiencing as early as Sunday.
“The fact that it wouldn’t be a hurricane might be misleading to people, but this could be very serious,” he said.
Szatkowski likened the situation to “the Perfect Storm,” a incredibly powerful Nor’easter that in 1991 absorbed Hurricane Grace, killed 13 people and caused upwards of $200 million in damage along the East Coast.
“The latest guidance has got a 946 millibar low off the coast of Cape Hatteras on Sunday,” said Henry Margusity, a senior meteorologist at Accuweather. “That would be a category 2 hurricane. If that’s true and it comes in like that. That’s a very bad situation. This would be a very destructive storm.”
The state Office of Emergency management is monitoring the situation closely and has started warning emergency management officers around the state of the potential threat.
“We’re still in the monitoring stage at this point. Every day we’re going to look at it and we’ll ramp up efforts as needed,” said Mary Goepfert, spokesperson for the state OEM.
Szatkowski was quick to point out, however, that there is a considerable amount of uncertainty with how the scenario will play out. Some forecast models show Sandy getting kicked out to sea, making the impacts on New Jersey fairly minimal.
Regardless, the storm needs to be monitored closely in the coming days.
“Remember that the forecast maps are guidance, not gospel. The storm center could easily track closer to the coast or further out to sea,” Szatkowski wrote in a briefing package issued today. “The takeaway message is that our region could be close to the path of a very dangerous storm.”
Last edited by shakin318; 10-28-2012 at 11:55 PM. Reason: To take the credit.
Remember, It's not nice to **** with Mother Nature.
God hates funny Jets fans.....
Anyone else keeping their eye on this?
I hope this doesn't turn into another Hurricane Irene scenario.
WASHINGTON — Much of the U.S. East Coast has a good chance of getting blasted by gale-force winds, flooding, heavy rain and maybe even snow early next week by an unusual hybrid of hurricane and winter storm, forecasters say.
Though still projecting several days ahead of Halloween week, the computer models are spooking meteorologists. Government scientists said Wednesday the storm has a 70 percent chance of smacking the Northeast and mid-Atlantic.
Hurricane Sandy in the Caribbean, an early winter storm in the West, and a blast of arctic air from the North are predicted to collide, sloshing and parking over the country's most populous coastal corridor starting Sunday. The worst of it should peak early Tuesday, but it will stretch into midweek, forecasters say.
"It'll be a rough couple days from Hatteras up to Cape Cod," said forecaster Jim Cisco of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration prediction center in College Park, Md. "We don't have many modern precedents for what the models are suggesting."
This has much more mess potential because it is a combination of different storm types that could produce a real whopper of weather problems, meteorologists say.
"The Perfect Storm only did $200 million of damage and I'm thinking a billion," said Dr. Jeff Masters, meteorology director of the Weather Underground. "Yeah, it will be worse."
But this is several days in advance, when weather forecasts are far less accurate. The National Hurricane Center only predicts five days in advance, and on Wednesday their forecasts had what's left of Sandy off the North Carolina coast on Monday. But the hurricane center's chief hurricane specialist, James Franklin, said the threat keeps increasing for "a major impact in the Northeast, New York area. In fact it would be such a big storm that it would affect all of the Northeast."
“The Perfect Storm only did $200 million of damage and I'm thinking a billion.”
Dr. Jeff Masters, meteorology director of Weather Underground
The forecasts keep getting gloomier and more convincing with every day, several experts said.
Cisco said the chance of the storm smacking the East jumped from 60 percent to 70 percent on Wednesday. Masters was somewhat skeptical on Tuesday, giving the storm scenario just a 40 percent likelihood, but on Wednesday he also upped that to 70 percent. The remaining computer models that previously hadn't shown the merger and mega-storm formation now predict a similar scenario.
The biggest question mark is snow, and that depends on where the remnants of Sandy turn inland. The computer model that has been leading the pack in predicting the hybrid storm has it hitting around Delaware. But another model has the storm hitting closer to Maine. If it hits Delaware, the chances of snow increase in that region. If it hits farther north, chances for snow in the mid-Atlantic and even up to New York are lessened, Masters said.
NOAA's Cisco said he could see the equivalent of several inches of snow or rain in the mid-Atlantic, depending on where the storm ends up. In the mountains, snow may be measured in feet instead of inches.
Bryan Norcross, hurricane specialist for The Weather Channel, said the effects of the storm are likely to be wide spread.
"These large-diameter storms, whether they are tropical like Ike or Irene, or nor'easters like a big northeast blizzard, produce storm surge and other effects a long way from the center," Norcross said. "In fact, the weather near the center is often not significant at all."
Copyright 2012 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
Last edited by Fishooked; 10-25-2012 at 11:30 AM.
We're going to get ****ed.
Sounds like just a terrible combination of events... hurricane + noreaster + hightide
Could be rough
Hope it stays away Sunday... Windy rainy tailgates blow...
I hope not... Last yr Halloween in NYC felt like a blizzard and there was a nasty car crash on 1 & 9 exiting Jersey City. -_-
Is this supposed to be worse than last year's storm?
This one is looking like two systems can collide+combine into a mega-storm.
I'm just miserable...it rained for for ALMOST 20 minutes about...2 hours ago.
It might rain again NEXT TUESDAY. About 12 millimeters of rainfall.
I feel like complaining - what's the number in Jacksonville?
Gale: All right, ya hayseeds, it's a stick-up. Everybody freeze. Everybody down on the ground.
Feisty Hayseed: Well, which is it, young feller? You want I should freeze or get down on the ground? Mean to say, if'n I freeze, I can't rightly drop. And if'n I drop, I'm a-gonna be in motion. You see...
Gale: Shut up!