Last year we struggled against the like of Jax and Arizona, if we can at least be good enough to handle these sorts of teams we're moving in the right direction. Small steps.
I wouldn't consider Greene's departure a "loss" he is well below average for an NFL RB. He would not be starting for any team in the league. Ivory and Goodson are way more talented.Running Game:
While the Jets lost Shonn Greene, he was replaced by two much faster backs. Greene had just over 1,000 yards last season, but he had the lowest yards per carry of any 1,000 yard back. His longest run of the season 36 yards, was lower than any of the other 1,000 yards backs.
Both Ivory and Goodson, averaged over 5 yards per carry, albeit with a much smaller sample size. Regardless, both players are much more explosive than Shonn Greene. Its certainly possible that the running game is better this year with these two players instead of Shonn Greene.
This is what I don't get. TE is a big hole and I hope they do something to address that soon, but the WRs IMO are fine, good enough for now anyway. If Hill takes the next step, it was going to be tough for a rookie to crack the starting lineup. Depth is a concern because after Kerley, there's nobody.Receiving Game:
The receiving game should be better as Santonio Holmes should be back. In addition, Stephen Hill gets to go through a full off season program. He should be much better than last year, which isn't saying much. I'd like it if the Jets brought back Braylon Edwards for one more year. He played well in the three games he was with the team last year.
Geno, at the very least, is going to push Sanchez like never before. The QB competition should bring out the best in everybody, even Tebow if he's still here. It's not an ideal situation, obviously, but you have to start somewhere.Passing Game:
Only Matt Cassel prevented Sanchez from being ranked dead last in 2012. Hopefully we'll get Garrard or Geno Smith starting this year. Garrard will almost certainly put up better numbers than Sanchez did last year, as long as he can stay healthy.
Geno Smith is a wild card, but is known for being accurate and not turning the ball over. Two things that Mark Sanchez does not do well. It wouldn't be a stretch to say that Geno Smith would put up better numbers than Mark Sanchez.
Coples and Wilk, I think, will be certified studs this year and they will ensure Richardson isn't getting double teamed every down. This group could be special.Defensive Line:
The dline last year was not very good against the run, finishing 26th in the league. Mike Devito and Po'uha are no longer with the team. Devito is replaced by Couples, who will now be the starter. His game started improving the second half of last season. Po'uha is replaced by Ellis and Sheldon Richardson.
Kendrick Ellis should get better now that he is entering his 3rd year. A four man line of Couples, Wilkerson, Ellis and Richard should be much more difficult to run on.
You didn't mention the loss of Landry, which is HUGE. He did so many things well and they have nobody to replace him. I have no idea how good the secondary will be this year. Can Wilson step up? Will they move him to FS? Will Cro be as good as he was last year? Who's the 4th CB? Lots of questions there.Secondary:
The Jets didn't have Revis last year, so its basically the same group plus Dee Milliner. The passing defense finished 2nd in the league and only alllowed one 100 yard receiver.
I think 9 wins is a little too much to ask for right now. I see a 7 win team who has a tough schedule. Most importantly, though, this team can make a big leap next year if these picks work out.Overall:
Despite a horrible offense last year, the Jets still won six games. Holmes is back, two explosive running backs have been added and its almost a certainty there is a better starting QB than last year. I don't think its a stretch for the Jets to win 8-9 games this season.
I don't think the Jets will be good at all. I really am expecting the worse, regardless of the outcome of the draft.
It's not about the players for me, but rather the schedule. If we had last year's schedule, I think we would have a better record. But this year's schedule is alot harder.
I mean look who we are playing in in September through November....
New England (2X)
Jets will easily be 3-9 or 2-10 if the offense doesn't start scoring points, because those other teams will. This year there is no stretch of Arizona, Jacksonville, Tennessee, San Diego, and Buffalo where we could be 5-0 if we're playing well.
Heck, I don't even think the end of the year with Miami (2X), Cleveland, Carolina, and Oakland is as easy as some predict.
Maybe we can grab 1 more starter, but can fill rest of our holes very nicely with 4 picks in 1st 3 rds. We don't need DL, rbs that's for sure. Get a TE, WR, S, OlB.
Plus you must consider the experience factor as last years wide eyed rooks are second year players should continue to develop, not to mention our third and fourth year players. Lastly if you have been paying attention, Idzik has gone on record that he expects EVERYONE to COMPETE; no more "gimmees".
I can understand you perhaps being a little pessimistic about the teams chances but to say 3 - 13 when the team went 6-10 with some of the worst QB play in NFL history tells me you are too focused on the past and not what is being built right before your eyes.
Even though the talent may be better and younger than last year, I'm not sure our record will improve much, if at all. If we even get to .500, Rex will likely be up for Coach of the Year.
The afc east got ALOT more interesting after today. The Dolphins owned free agency Jets owned the draft IMO. I can't wait to see how it pans out during OTA's and training camp but I am giddy now. LET'S GET IT.