However, what history tells us is that where you are drafted is a predictor of the likelihood of success. QBs drafted in the 1st round are more likely to perform better than QBs drafted in later round. It does not mean all 1st rd QBs will be stars or all 4th round QBs will suck. Its about likelihoods. Not absolutes. Yes Brady is HOF QB drafted in the 6th RD. The vast majority of QBs drafted in the 6th round will not become a starter in this league. Doesnt mean they can not because of draft position, just means they are not likely. Same can be said about other positions
Based on the lists, QBs taken in the 1st round since 1992 had a 45% chance of succeeding and those taken in the 2nd round since 1992 had a 13% chance.
Geno has a chance. If history tells us anything its that the odds are stacked high against him but still he has a chance.
I wonder if this loosar has ever read one of those mutual fund prospectus things where it says in huge bold letters
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO INDICATION OF FUTURE RESULTS
Mark Sanchez was the #5 pick in the first round, right up there with Jamarcus Russell, Tim Couch, David Carr and Ryan Leaf
all MASSIVE busts
I'll take my chances with Geno Smith of the second round, thank you
There is a 50/50 chance Geno will succeed... well there's only a 10% chance of that
Your statement that BASED ON THE LIST AS A GUIDE Geno has a 50% chance is incorrect.No, the reality is that yes Geno, using this list as a guide, has a 50% chanced.
I think you should read the list before you make an inaccurate statement
Btw...now everyone will think less of you. You missed your bus.
Last edited by NY's stepchild; 07-17-2013 at 07:44 PM.
Let's sign Rex to a long term deal and just take suck to a whole new level forever.