Average QB play is 10 wins... IMO. Slightly better is 11.
We've had absolute shyte under center for 5 years now. Two AFCCG appearances, and an average of 8.5 wins per season in that stretch. I'd say proper NFL Quarterbacking during that time would be a +3 win improvement.
If things go back to the mean, the Pats are not shoe ins for another division title.
Even the guys lost to injury aren't young studs bouncing back from injury, they are older players closer to the glue factory.
Wilfork, Mayo, Kelly.
Gronk is on what his 5th or 6th surgery?
They also had one of those crazy azz home winning streaks but it was much different then it's ever been with comeback wins vs Miami, the Saints, and an improbable 24 point comeback vs Denver.
They showed way more vulnerability in the AFC East winning a close game at home vs the Jets, losing to us on the road, losing to Miami on the road, squeaking by the Bills on the road in a game the Bills really handed to them.
I see that being a lot closer to the norm as teams start forcing Brady into trying to throw longer routes.
Teams are starting to squeeze the Pats offense into a smaller & smaller box.
That's why I hope they lose Edelman in the offseason to free agency, that kid alone saved 3 losses for them with his short quickness & 3rd down conversions.