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Thread: Coldest air of season since January for next week

  1. #121
    Quote Originally Posted by Bonhomme Richard View Post
    Can I ban you if you're wrong?
    I would think that such an extreme prediction warrants an extreme risk if wrong. Balls out on the table. Cookie.

  2. #122
    Quote Originally Posted by Dcat View Post
    I would think that such an extreme prediction warrants an extreme risk if wrong. Balls out on the table. Cookie.
    Trust me the info tonight is 18 - 24 inches for nyc on the models...if not go analyze the models on your own. 1.50 - 2 inch qpf... with 1:10 ratio at start dropping to 1:15 for last inch liquid.

  3. #123
    Quote Originally Posted by Dcat View Post
    I would think that such an extreme prediction warrants an extreme risk if wrong. Balls out on the table. Cookie.
    Bonhomme you better not doubt me cause I don't bs.

  4. #124
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    Quote Originally Posted by CookieMonsta View Post
    Trust me the info tonight is 18 - 24 inches for nyc on the models...if not go analyze the models on your own. 1.50 - 2 inch qpf... with 1:10 ratio at start dropping to 1:15 for last inch liquid.
    Quote Originally Posted by CookieMonsta View Post
    Bonhomme you better not doubt me cause I don't bs.

    Ugh, yeah already see the long range local forecasts starting to move towards this by throwing 'snow showers' out for Sunday, with snow for Monday.
    Good to know.

  5. #125
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    Quote Originally Posted by jetstream23 View Post
    Definitely.

    He called for major snow tomorrow....



    Then today said...



    So a snow storm got delayed by 5 days??? His latest call, just now, is for 18-24 inches of snow to arrive 5 to 7 days from now.

    In other news, I'm predicting a 9 win season for the Jets in 2021.

    But some of my models are showing 7 wins and a Low Pressure system that will cause another quarterback controversy.
    LOL! Nearly spit out my Cheerios. Anyway, I hope like hell this forecast is all wet.

  6. #126
    Recent GFS run does show a prolonged weather evert Sun-Tues. what a pain in the a$$.

    Cookie, are you in the weather biz or just a amateur? I have accuweather premium to get the models, no Euro though on that. Got a Euro snapshot for this?

  7. #127
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    Quote Originally Posted by jetstream23 View Post
    Definitely.

    He called for major snow tomorrow....



    Then today said...



    So a snow storm got delayed by 5 days??? His latest call, just now, is for 18-24 inches of snow to arrive 5 to 7 days from now.

    In other news, I'm predicting a 9 win season for the Jets in 2021.

    But some of my models are showing 7 wins and a Low Pressure system that will cause another quarterback controversy.
    Well played sir.

  8. #128
    Quote Originally Posted by CookieMonsta View Post
    Trust me the info tonight is 18 - 24 inches for nyc on the models...if not go analyze the models on your own. 1.50 - 2 inch qpf... with 1:10 ratio at start dropping to 1:15 for last inch liquid.
    With all due respect, I'm sick of the hype from the "weather experts" on tv about a storm 5 days before it is supposed to happen. While, I'm sure you believe what you are saying , and that there is a POSSIBILITY of it happening, it is still too far out! You made a similar forecast for today not too long ago.

  9. #129
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    Quote Originally Posted by jetstream23 View Post
    Definitely.

    He called for major snow tomorrow....



    Then today said...



    So a snow storm got delayed by 5 days??? His latest call, just now, is for 18-24 inches of snow to arrive 5 to 7 days from now.

    In other news, I'm predicting a 9 win season for the Jets in 2021.

    But some of my models are showing 7 wins and a Low Pressure system that will cause another quarterback controversy.
    Yeah, Cookie really fvcked me with that one. I was strutting around town telling everyone of the impending disaster and how they best go build an Ark. Turns out, we get 7 flakes. I forgot the old adage of "Past performance does not guarantee future results".

    Dr. Moga screwed me the same way. He got a few picks right so I put the rent money - some real coin, hoss - on his picks and wound up sleeping on the streets for a few months.

  10. #130
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    Nothing here the groundhog didn't tell us 3 weeks ago.

  11. #131
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    Quote Originally Posted by crasherino View Post
    Yeah, Cookie really fvcked me with that one. I was strutting around town telling everyone of the impending disaster and how they best go build an Ark. Turns out, we get 7 flakes. I forgot the old adage of "Past performance does not guarantee future results".

    Dr. Moga screwed me the same way. He got a few picks right so I put the rent money - some real coin, hoss - on his picks and wound up sleeping on the streets for a few months.
    Was that you I saw by the Holland Tunnel getting into a black SUV with tinted windows?

  12. #132
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    Quote Originally Posted by CookieMonsta View Post
    Trust me...18 - 24 inches...on the models..analyze the models... dropping to 1:15 for last inch liquid.
    Mods please move to the Penthouse letters forum

  13. #133
    Quote Originally Posted by Jungle Shift Jet View Post
    Mods please move to the Penthouse letters forum
    Everytime Cookie refers to the "gf model" I think he is bragging about having a girl friend who is a model.

    But weathermen don't usually swing that way, amirite?

  14. #134
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    Quote Originally Posted by crasherino View Post
    Yeah, Cookie really fvcked me with that one. I was strutting around town telling everyone of the impending disaster and how they best go build an Ark. Turns out, we get 7 flakes. I forgot the old adage of "Past performance does not guarantee future results".

    Dr. Moga screwed me the same way. He got a few picks right so I put the rent money - some real coin, hoss - on his picks and wound up sleeping on the streets for a few months.
    I freely confess that I miss doctor Frank.

  15. #135
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    Here's where I go fir weather info. No trolls!http://rutgers.rivals.com/showmsg.as...1296741&Page=2

  16. #136
    I still believe in you Cookie monsta!

    thanks for the info.. good stuff to know and prepare for!

    everyone can make a mistake and your batting average is better than most of the local weather dudes and weather.com for sure

    please keep posting any developments.

    thankyou!!

  17. #137
    Quote Originally Posted by CookieMonsta View Post
    Best call on accumalation is 18 - 24 inches of snow for nyc into c nj and into westchester county...further south of philly into dc an icy mix with frz rain. This is a fluffy snow...but initially will start out wet. Confidence is high right now .
    This may be true, but you should be quite careful on what you mean by "Best call on accumulation". NYC is very roughly 40 miles North to South and 15 miles East to West. There's no way to know where the meat of a storm is going to go on such a micro scale this early on.

    The "best call on accumulation" is still a really small number. A more accurate thing to say would be that there is a good chance of a major snowstorm (Lets say, for arguments sake 75% likely, though that seems way too high for a storm 5 days) and if there is, there is a good chance it could roll through NYC (Say 60% likely of hitting NYC, and 30% likely of the heart of storm going through NYC), and if that is the case, the max amount of snow for the snow could be as high as 18-24" (70% likely), That would make it about a 35% chance of good snow (roughly 4+ Inches), and 15% chance of major snow (12" or higher) .

    Still the most likely scenario, just far too soon to expect a foot of snow.

  18. #138
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    Quote Originally Posted by Batmans A Scientist View Post
    This may be true, but you should be quite careful on what you mean by "Best call on accumulation". NYC is very roughly 40 miles North to South and 15 miles East to West. There's no way to know where the meat of a storm is going to go on such a micro scale this early on.

    The "best call on accumulation" is still a really small number. A more accurate thing to say would be that there is a good chance of a major snowstorm (Lets say, for arguments sake 75% likely, though that seems way too high for a storm 5 days) and if there is, there is a good chance it could roll through NYC (Say 60% likely of hitting NYC, and 30% likely of the heart of storm going through NYC), and if that is the case, the max amount of snow for the snow could be as high as 18-24" (70% likely), That would make it about a 35% chance of good snow (roughly 4+ Inches), and 15% chance of major snow (12" or higher) .

    Still the most likely scenario, just far too soon to expect a foot of snow.

    All in all it's good to at least be prepared for; make plans to have your plans ruined, etc.

  19. #139
    I envy you guys having Cookie to steer you clear of danger with an in-depth weather forecast.

    Hey monsta, any chance of branching out with a few across the pond outlooks?

  20. #140
    Quote Originally Posted by crasherino View Post
    Yeah, Cookie really fvcked me with that one. I was strutting around town telling everyone of the impending disaster and how they best go build an Ark. Turns out, we get 7 flakes. I forgot the old adage of "Past performance does not guarantee future results".
    This! God damn this! I had my chest puffed out and everything "its the real deal, I know a guy." All for naught...damn you cookie.

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