The Jets are looking to change the narrative of this season and keep Todd Bowles job, and to accomplish both of those things they must beat New England this Sunday. Each team experienced a demoralizing loss the previous week and will be looking to return back to their peak form.

 

When: Sunday, November 25th, 1:00 pm EST on CBS

Stadium: MetLife Stadium

Series: 119th meeting, Patriots lead series 63-54-1

Last Meeting: Patriots 26, Jets 6, Gillette Stadium, 12/31/17

Last Jets Win: Jets 26, Patriots 20, MetLife Stadium, 12/27/15

Notable: This will be Josh McCown’s third game vs. the Patriots. He’s 0-2 as a starter with 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He has the second worst QBR of any quarterbacks to start a game this year, beating out now free agent Nathan Peterman

Head Coaches: Todd Bowles, Jets, 4th year, 23-35 record, Bill Belichick 257-121, 24th year

Last Week: Jets – BYE- Week before- Bills 41, Jets 10, Patriots- Titans 34-10

Jets Injury Report: OUT – Sam Darnold (foot) / DOUBTFUL Marcus Maye (thumb/shoulder), James Carpenter (shoulder) / QUESTIONABLE – Brandon Copeland (elbow), Robby Anderson (ankle)

Patriots Injury Report: OUT – Dwayne Allen (knee) / QUESTIONABLE – Tom Brady (knee), Nate Ebner (knee), Rob Gronkowski (ankle/back), Shaq Mason (calf), Sony Michel (knee)

Jets Ranking: Offense – POINTS PER GAME 20.8 (24th), TOTAL YARDS 2994 (29th), RUSHING YARDS 1073 (21st), PASSING YARDS 1921 (29th), 3RD DOWN 28.8% (32nd) Defense – POINTS PER GAME 25.4 (21st), TOTAL YARDS 3616 (15th), RUSHING YARDS 1195 (20th), PASSING YARDS 2421 (13th), 3RD DOWN 33.3% (2nd)

Patriots Ranking: Offense -POINTS PER GAME 28 (7th), TOTAL YARDS 3772 (11th), RUSHING YARDS 1085 (20th), PASSING YARDS 2687 (11th), 3RD DOWN 39.7% (14th) Defense – POINTS PER GAME 23.6 (15th), TOTAL YARDS 3814 (20th), RUSHING YARDS 1111 (16th), PASSING YARDS 2703 (20th), 3RD DOWN 43.1% (25th)

 

Key Match-ups:

 

  • CB Trumaine Johnson vs. WR Josh Gordon: Josh Gordon had an otherworldly 117.6 ypg in 2013, which is good for 3rd most in the super bowl era. He has battled mental health and drug issues, but his talent is in a class of its own. Trumaine Johnson struggled to guard undrafted former Alabama backup receiver Robert Foster in the blowout loss to the Bills two weeks ago, but Johnson was fresh off a quad injury, and nobody on the Jets played well that day.
  • OLB Jordan Jenkins vs. LT Trent Brown: Brown, the former seventh-round pick by the San Francisco 49ers, was acquired along with a fifth-round pick in 2018 for a third round pick. Yet another incredible draft-day move made by the Super-bowl losers, Brown has been the starter since first-round pick Isaiah Wynn went down with a torn achilles in preseason. He is the heaviest player in the NFL, and has allowed a team high 2.5 sacks. The only formula that works for beating Brady is pressure, and the Jets best pass rusher is Jordan Jenkins, who has 5 sacks this season. Sidenote: If Copeland (questionable) is unable to go on the other side of the line, watch for Frankie Luvu playing with genuine hunger and ferocity.
  • QB Josh McCown vs. CB Stephon Gilmore: Josh McCown was inefficient to say the least against the Bills, but as stated by Bowles after the game, everyone played poorly. The Jets receiving situation is likely no better than it was against the Bills, unless Anderson’s ankle has improved markedly during the bye, so it will be tough sledding against Stephon Gilmore and the Patriots secondary. Gilmore has been playing at a high level this season: PFF has him ranked fourth overall in 2018. Gilmore, despite his improvement, has only one interception on the year. He may be due for another one Sunday.

 

 

X-Factors:

 

  • JETS – Robby Anderson, 11, WR: Anderson flirted with an 1,000 yard season last year, but finished 59 yards short after Josh McCown injured his hand and was forced to deal with Bryce Petty. Now, in 2018, Anderson has struggled, having only 346 yards so far. He has been injured, he hasn’t developed chemistry with Darnold, Bates is terrible at play calling, whatever your personal excuse is he has not performed. In his first game back since suffering an ankle injury week seven against the Vikings. The bye might have given him time to properly rehab, and if he’s healthy he’s threat from anywhere on the field at any time.
  • Patriots – Cordarrelle Patterson, 84, WR: While being considered one of the best return men in the league, Patterson has rarely made sustained impact outside of special teams. The Patriots rival only the Saints for inconsistent usage of offensive weapons, and just about any weapon they have could have a big game. Sony Michel, James White, Rob Gronkowski, Josh Gordon, and Julian Edelman are all game-breaking talents. Patterson is a versatile speedster who’s taken 25 rushes in the last three games, so look for Belichick to try to get him the ball.

 

 

KEYS TO THE GAME:

Forcing turnovers: The Jets have not forced a turnover since their week six win over Indianapolis, and in that time the offense has turned the ball over ten times. Turnovers are the key to winning any game, and the Jets haven’t been doing much of either recently.

Converting on third downs: The Jets are dead last in the NFL in third down conversion, getting to the sticks on just 28.2% of attempts. Jeremy Bates must find a way to move the chains other than having Quincy Enunwa beat seven defenders. Integrating Jordan Leggett could be a solution- he’s 6’6” and has not been given too much of a chance to show what he’s made of after finally working his way back from injury.

No more Jekyll and Hyde: The Jets have played defense very well at times. Those times are not recent. Like any team in the NFL at this point in the season, the Jets are a little banged up, but that’s no excuse for allowing Matt Barkley to score 41 points after keeping the Dolphins to a pair of field goals. The week before that semi-stellar Dolphins performance they had allowed possibly the easiest touchdown in NFL history. There is no excuse for those types of coverage gaffes, and they can’t allow easy points if they expect to win.

 

THE PICK: Patriots 31, Jets 13 – The Jets are bad now. They had a chance at being average, but at this point they more closely resemble a garbage fire. Tom Brady, while ill or injured or whatever Bill Belichick is trying to hide from us, is fresh off a beat down by the Tennessee Titans. A rather ugly one, where Brady didn’t throw a touchdown in 41 attempts. The Jets have been known to play up to the Patriots level, but after their last outing, it’s hard to imagine that they can compete this year.