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Thread: Pretty Wild AFC Wild-Card Scenarios for Week 17

  1. #1
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    Pretty Wild AFC Wild-Card Scenarios for Week 17

    http://nfl.si.com/2013/12/22/afc-wil...-17/?eref=sihp

    Four teams remain in the running for the AFC’s sixth and final playoff spot. Here’s what each team needs to happen in Week 17 to claim that berth:

    Miami Dolphins (8-7) would clinch with:
    • A win plus either a loss by Baltimore or win by San Diego.
    • A tie plus losses by Baltimore and San Diego.

    Not one of the quartet in the hunt fully controls its own destiny — a bizarre twist added by the NFL’s tiebreaker scenarios. Miami currently holds the edge on Baltimore because San Diego, a winner Sunday, created a three-team tie at 8-7. In that scenario, the Ravens’ win over Miami is canceled out by Miami’s win over San Diego, pushing the conference-record tiebreaker to the forefront. The Dolphins hold that edge on both the Ravens and Chargers.

    MORE COVERAGE: Week 16 Snaps | Playoff picture | Top-10 Mock Draft

    Baltimore Ravens (8-7) would clinch with:
    • A win plus a loss by either Miami or San Diego.
    • A loss plus losses by Miami, San Diego and Pittsburgh.

    That aforementioned three-team tiebreaker? Baltimore needs to break it in Week 17 to pull back into the No. 6 seed. The Ravens have to do that by winning, first of all, and then getting the Dolphins or Chargers to trip up. Head-to-head, Baltimore would hold the tiebreaker edge on either of those teams. In a three-team jumble where all three teams have the same record, the Ravens would miss out.

    San Diego Chargers (8-7) would clinch with:
    • A win or tie plus losses by Miami and Baltimore.

    The Chargers are third in the pecking order. They would lose the head-to-head tiebreaker with Miami, the conference-record tiebreaker with Baltimore and would be No. 3 in the three-team tiebreaker. So, the Chargers’ only hope is to get to 9-7 and hope for help.

    Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) would clinch with:
    • A win plus losses by Baltimore, Miami (vs. NY Jets) and San Diego.

    Pretty straightforward for the Steelers, who no doubt feel fortunate just to get to Week 17 with a shot. The Jets’ win over Cleveland was huge for them, despite neither of those teams having a postseason shot, because the Steelers need the Jets to get to 8-8 — thus drawing even with the Dolphins.

    Here again, we get into a sloppy tiebreaker scenario. The NFL breaks intra-divisional tiebreakers first, even in wild-card scenarios. So, an 8-8 Jets team would eliminate an 8-8 Dolphins team, preventing that Dolphins team from bouncing the Steelers.

    Still following? Essentially, the Steelers need a five-way tie at 8-8 between themselves, the Ravens, Jets, Dolphins and Chargers. They’d then hold the edge on every team but Miami … which New York would send packing.

  2. #2
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    Good. FVCK the Steelers and their rapist!

  3. #3
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    looks like even if we had won either the Bills game or the dolphins game we would not be in the playoffs. but in the hunt. frustrating

  4. #4
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    I'd be much more afraid of playing the Chargers or Ravens than the LOLPhish- it'll be pathetic if they get the wildcard (which they very well might ).

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