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Thread: ChiefST's Top 30 RB Rankings for the 2014 Fantasy Football Draft

  1. #1

    ChiefST's Top 30 RB Rankings for the 2014 Fantasy Football Draft

    As some of you already know I've been pushing to make the JI Fantasy Sports forum more active for the past couple of years. This season I'd like to see if there is any interest in a JI weekly fantasy football tournament as well to really spark up some action here in the forum. Anyone interested please DM me and let me know. If we can get 10+ players it could be a lot of fun.

    Anyway, this is the first installment in my complete 2014 Fantasy Draft strategy guide. Today I'm covering the RB position. Don't hate on me because no Jets players are on this list . This is part one of what I expect will be a complete draft strategy guide. I've already completed over 50 mock drafts as part of the research I do in setting up the tiers. This season RB is easily the thinnest of all the positions and I am of the opinion that the top 8 fantasy RB's should be the first 8 players off the board.





    2014 Fantasy Football Top 20 RB Rankings:

    Elite Tier - High End RB1 Level Players to Anchor a Team Around

    1) LeSean McCoy PHI
    2) Jamaal Charles KC
    3) Adrian Peterson MIN
    4) Matt Forte CHI
    5) Eddie Lacy GB


    Jamal Charles remains the class of the league in 2014. He accounted for over 30% of the Chief's total offense in 2013 and I expect that trend to continue in 2014. That said, for our updated RB rankings, Shady McCoy gets the top spot. There's simply no denying that the Eagles offense is more explosive then the Chiefs and that is enough to give McCoy the edge and the top spot. Rounding out the Elite Tier are AP, Forte and promising 2nd year player Lacy.

    Tier 2 RB's - These three players rated just a touch below the elite tier of backs but they remain Round 1 talents.

    6) Marshawn Lynch SEA- Lynch has been a consistent Fantasy Points machine in Seattle's run first offense for the past few seasons. He does not get many receptions but his productivity on the ground can't be denied. His role in Seattle's offense includes goal line carries and he tends to get in the end zone more then most RB's. Lynch got a slight bump down in this updated ranking due to his massive workload last season (Thanks to NFL Fantasy Live's Adam Rank for pointing this out after our original RB rankings came out ).
    Ranks Take on Lynch

    7) DeMarco Murray DAL -Murray is a talented player that in 2013 received the lion-share of carries for the explosive Dallas Offense. He showed he can stay healthy for a full season which going in to 2013 was the biggest concern. Rumors out of Dallas is that they are looking to bring a more up tempo look to their offense this season. They brought in former Lions Offensive Coordinator Scott Linehan to retool the Offense. That system calls for a much higher emphasis on getting the RB the football in open space and also calls for a bigger passing game role for the RB position. All this bodes well for Murray in 2014.

    8) Montee Ball DEN - Ball has the potential to explode in Denver's high scoring attack. Opposing defenses often "dare" Peyton to hand it off leaving gaping holes for whatever RB Denver trots out. Ball is a risk because his position as the starter and primary ball carrier is not cemented just yet. Fumbling and blitz pickup issues hurt Ball in his rookie season and have the potential to do the same in 2014. That said the Denver coaching staff has been adamant that Ball is the primary RB. We will take them at their word.

    These top 8 RB's represent the top 8 players overall for fantasy football in 2014. The drop off after the top 8 RB's is significant. Due to the extreme depth at WR in 2014 the top two tiers of RB's should be taken ahead of any and all other players including Megatron and Jimmy Graham.


    Tier 3 RB - This is the area of the draft where you should at least consider looking at other available players. Elite Tier WR's should be considered ahead of this group of RB's

    9) Doug Martin TB - Which Doug Martin will show up in 2014? Will it be the guy from his rookie year that tool the league by storm or the guy from 2013 that wasn't playing all that well before he was lost for the season in week 7? I have no idea. Last season Martin was a top 3 draft pick. In 2014 he should be available somewhere late in the second round.


    10) Arian Foster HOU - Foster, Like Martin, burned a lot of teams that took him at the top of the 2013 draft. There are two major concerns with Foster. First is his health. Back injuries are notoriously debilitating. His ability to last through the rigors of an NFL season are in question. In addition at the moment the Texans are a team in flux. Foster is a player to target in the 3rd to 4th rounds in 2014 and makes for a high end RB2.

    11) Giovani Bernard CIN - Just watching the tape of Bernard in 2013 proves what a special player he is. The only question is if the Bengals will give him the 20+ touches they should be. Bernard could easily finish in the top 5 at his position if they do.

    12) Le'Veon Bell PIT - Bell is the right player on the right team at the right time. A solid 3 down back on a team that likes to hand off the football at the goal line. They did pick up LeGarette Blount in Free Agency so that could eat in to Bell's touches a bit in 2014 but Bell still figures to be the primary RB in a run heavy scheme.

    13) Ryan Mathews SD - I'm not a big fan of Matthews but I must admit that he broke out in 2013. Mathews gets plenty of touches particularly around the goal line for San Diego. He is a solid RB2.

    14) Alfred Morris WAS - In 2013 Morris was a top five RB in terms of total yardage but he had a difficult time getting in to the end zone for a number of reasons. The coaching change in Washington leaves some room here for doubt and the emergence of Helu as a 3rd down back is a concern but that's why Morris is not in the top tier. He makes for a high end RB2.

    Tier 4 RB - These Players have some Question marks but still make for startable players - RB2

    15) Zac Stacy STL - Stacy almost made it into the 3rd tier. Then I remembered he will have to face Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona twice. Those are three of the best defenses in the league and they represent over 1/3 of the Rams schedule. All NFC West players get a downgrade due to the defenses in that division. In addition the Rams drafted an arguably more talented RB in Tre Mason in the 3rd round of the draft. Stacy should remain the bell cow back but Mason's presence looms large and adds a small element of risk to this pick.

    16) C.J. Spiller BUF - Spiller is the highest upside play of anyone in this season's RB class. If Buffalo gives him the touches he has Shady/Charles type talent and potential. Last season he barely qualified as a startable flex player possibly due to an ankle injury. With Jackson another year older will this be the season when the Buffalo coaching staff finally figures out how to utilize their most talented player? We shall see.

    17) Ben Tate CLE - There really isn't anyone on the Browns that will challenge Tate for touches at the moment. The Browns also happen to have some talent at WR and TE that will force opposing defenses to account. Tate is a high upside RB2 in 2014.

    18) Bishop Sankey TEN - Opportunity is sometimes the name of the game in the NFL. Sankey was the first RB off the board in the 2014 NFL draft. Tennessee obviously loves the guy. He has the tools to be a 3 down player. In addition Tennessee dumped CJ2K in the offseason leaving the molasses footed Sean Green as Sankey's only competition. Sankey will be this season's LeVeon Bell and represents a value pick with plenty of upside.

    19) Rashad Jennings NYG - This is another high upside play. If Jennings emerges as the primary running back for the Giants he will make for a solid and consistent RB2. He has had some injury issues in his career and David Wilson is supposedly on track to be ready for training camp so Jennings is far from a sure fire player.

    20) Andre Ellington ARI - Ellington is another talented player without much competition in Arizona. Still he is in the NFC West and therefore gets a bump down to low end RB2 with PPR upside.

    21) Shane Vereen NE - Vereen is another of my high upside plays. His role in the New England Offense is well defined and there is room for him to grow as far as total touches go. Vereen gets an additional bump in PPR leagues and makes for a low end RB2 or a solid Flex.

    Tier 5 RB's

    22/23) Reggie Bush/Joique Bell DET - Bush looks to be in a true 50/50 timeshare with Joique Bell this season. Both players have some flex appeal and both should be productive players in Detroit's explosive offense.

    24) Toby Gerhart JAC - Gerhart finally gets his chance to step out of Adrian Peterson's shadow and into the spotlight. With little to no competition on the Jag's roster, Gerhart should see plenty of carries in 2014. Jacksonville's questionable offense will limit his upside but the floor is high with this player.

    Tier 6 RB's - The pickins are slim

    25) Frank Gore SF - Gore is old and coming to the end of his rope. He has a ton of hungry young talented competition to contend with on the 49ers roster. I will avoid him like the plague in my draft.

    26) Ray Rice BAL - I don't know what's worse. That Rice knocked out his girlfriend cold recently or the press conference where Baltimore had the girlfriend apologizing for her role in the issue. WTF was she apologizing for? Having a glass jaw? What's that got to do with fantasy football? I have no idea but I needed to get that off my chest.

    27) Stevan Ridley NE - Sleeper Alert!!! Ridley burned many a Fantasy Team in 2013. He was a tier 2 RB that generally went midway through the second round. A couple of fumbles later and he was buried on the Patriots depth chart. I still think the kid has talent. New England likes to run a two headed RB attack. Ridley should be a steal in the later rounds of the fantasy draft. If he emerges in the LeGarette Blount role for New England he has RB2 upside. Grab him for your bench in the later rounds!

    28) Knowshon Moreno MIA - Moreno is another player that should be available late in the draft. Knowshon is coming off a fantastic season with Denver. He has some competetion from Lamar Miller and that could limit him. Still he should have a decent floor and if the Dolphins make him the primary focus in the running game he has RB2 upside.

    29) Steven Jackson ATL - Jackson is old and coming off an injury riddled, disappointment of a season. Still he comes in to 2014 as the primary RB for a Falcons team that gets Julio Jones and a healthy Roddy White back. If the Falcons return to form as an Offensive juggernaut, Jackson should benefit. This is another high floor low ceiling player to target in the later rounds of the draft.

    30) Trent Richardson IND - What if Richardson doesn't suck? Is it possible that last season's stink-fest was some sort of anomaly? Doubtful. Still he's worth a flier in the late rounds on upside alone. If he somehow manages to emerge as the Colts primary RB he could be the steal of the draft. It's a long shot but that's what the last few rounds of the draft are for.

    http://www.dailyfantasyadvice.net/20...d-rb.html#more

  2. #2
    What about Chris Johnson? I know the Jets backfield is a little crowded but there's going to be enough carries to go around and Johnson is going to also get catches on 3rd down which is good for PPR.
    Last edited by detjetsfan; 05-28-2014 at 07:33 PM.

  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by detjetsfan View Post
    What about Chris Johnson? I know the Jets backfield is a little crowded but there's going to be enough carries to go around and Johnson is going to also get catches on 3rd down which is good for PPR.
    CJ definately gets a bump in PPR but for standard leagues he should be just outside of the top 30. Ivory is talented as well and should get the goal line touches. CJ should play the old Ledanian Tomlinson role of passing down back. Good for a flex spot or bye week fill in. I prefer the potential upside of guys like Moreno and Ridley and even T-Rich for fantasy purposes.

  4. #4
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    Hoping and praying I land a pick in at least the top 5 this year, if not top 3. I'm not at all liking the rolling out one of the guys you mentioned after those 5 as my #1. Would like to try and grab Spiller as my #2 wrapping around at the middle/end of the 2nd. However, the way the board falls this year and with the RB prospects, I think I'll likely steer away from using my top 2 picks on RB's this season.

  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by chiefst2000 View Post
    CJ definately gets a bump in PPR but for standard leagues he should be just outside of the top 30.
    CJ2K outside of top 30 in his position in this offense? Oy Vey don't know if I agree with that.

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by DevsJetsYanks88 View Post
    Hoping and praying I land a pick in at least the top 5 this year, if not top 3. I'm not at all liking the rolling out one of the guys you mentioned after those 5 as my #1. Would like to try and grab Spiller as my #2 wrapping around at the middle/end of the 2nd. However, the way the board falls this year and with the RB prospects, I think I'll likely steer away from using my top 2 picks on RB's this season.
    If you get a crappy slot just take Calvin Johnson. He's more productive than most tier 1 RB's even in non-PPR and less risky.

  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by detjetsfan View Post
    If you get a crappy slot just take Calvin Johnson. He's more productive than most tier 1 RB's even in non-PPR and less risky.
    So far in mocks I'm seeing that most people are jumping on Mega and Graham somewhere in the middle of round one. It seems like once they get past the "Elite Tier" RB's its wide open. If you don't like rolling the dice on someone like DeMarco Murray or Monte Ball at the bottom of the first round theres nothing wrong with grabbing an elite WR. I would definitely avoid QB's early and for me I see so much WR value later in the draft that it does make sense to hit up feature back's early. All of it depends on league type however. In shallower leagues (10 teams with perhaps no flex position) the strategy is different then in deeper leagues where depth plays a more significant factor.

  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by chiefst2000 View Post
    So far in mocks I'm seeing that most people are jumping on Mega and Graham somewhere in the middle of round one. It seems like once they get past the "Elite Tier" RB's its wide open. If you don't like rolling the dice on someone like DeMarco Murray or Monte Ball at the bottom of the first round theres nothing wrong with grabbing an elite WR. I would definitely avoid QB's early and for me I see so much WR value later in the draft that it does make sense to hit up feature back's early. All of it depends on league type however. In shallower leagues (10 teams with perhaps no flex position) the strategy is different then in deeper leagues where depth plays a more significant factor.
    Megatron had 1,492 yards and 12 tds last season. That's considered good production from a tier 1 RB. In PPR he's even better and now with Golden Tate and Ebron things will open up even more for him. I don't if I'd take Graham in rd 1 even in PPR to me that's a stretch even though he's the best TE by far. I'd rather just wait til rd 2 or 3 for Julius Thomas who I think is going to be a monster next season.

  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by detjetsfan View Post
    Megatron had 1,492 yards and 12 tds last season. That's considered good production from a tier 1 RB. In PPR he's even better and now with Golden Tate and Ebron things will open up even more for him. I don't if I'd take Graham in rd 1 even in PPR to me that's a stretch even though he's the best TE by far. I'd rather just wait til rd 2 or 3 for Julius Thomas who I think is going to be a monster next season.
    Theres no doubt Calvin is the man. He should go right in the middle of round one as early as the 4th pick. If i'm sitting on the 6th pick and making a decision between Calvin vs Ball or Murray I'm not sure what I would do. Still my strategy this season particularly in deeper leagues with Flex positions is to build a deep team particularly at the shallowest position (RB). I always use that methodology based on my belief that later in the season I can trade away depth for top flight talent. Last season for example in one of my leagues I picked up Stacy on waivers. He was a bench guy for me so I paired him up with a middling WR and traded for AJ Green. Another move I made last season was grabbing Demarco Murray as a bench RB in the 4th or 5th rounds of some of my drafts when I already had two "starting" RB's. When Murray started to shine and Doug Martin/Ray Rice/Ridley/Spiller/MJD flamed out I was able to target those teams for trades. I picked up Demaryus Thomas in a flip for Alfred Morris and TY Hilton. I still had Charles and DeMarco to anchor my RB corps. My point is that I always try to go in to the draft targeting depth at the shallowest positions based on the assumption that I will be able to make trades later on using my depth as my chips.

  10. #10
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    Hey Chiefs, how bout we start up a money league. I know some good sites, and I'm sure that will drum up some interest. Not sure I want to compete against you. ;-)

  11. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by BRONX JET View Post
    Hey Chiefs, how bout we start up a money league. I know some good sites, and I'm sure that will drum up some interest. Not sure I want to compete against you. ;-)
    I'm down for a JI themed season long league. My preference would be on yahoo just because their mobile app is the best i've found. Are you willing to be the commissioner AKA deal with the money issues?

    Also I was planning to try an easier concept of a weekly JI one week fantasy tournaments. Basically there are sites that facilitate one week salary cap based leagues (fanduel/draftkings). So in essence each week anywhere from 5 to 25 teams each put in $5 or $10 and select a team based on salary cap. The top finishers (top 3 in a 10 team for example) win shares of the pot. The good part is that they handle all of the money so theres no need to trust anyone.

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